01-10-2018, 09:15 AM | #61 |
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I feel like we have to win out until mid Feb when we head to Moody. UCF should be our toughest challenge until then and Taylor I think will be likely to play his first game against us...but should be rusty.
After that point in mid Feb... SMU away...just a brutal place to play at Moody. Then back it up with @ Houston...not easy. Followed by WSU home...not easy. Then we get Uconn and Tulsa home...should not be a problem. Then we get WSU and vastly improved Tulane away both on senior night. WSU has 6 seniors...I don't see us winning that game. How did we get two years in a row of playing away twice on senior night? WTF? 5 of our last 7 games are going to be very difficult. I am marking us down for 1 loss at WSU on senior night. I don't think we can slip up going into those last 7. If we do it's going to be a real challenge to pull off the protected seed. If we can manage to only lose 2 from here on out I think we can get that 3 seed. If we lose 3 I think we are looking at 4 seed and maybe a 5. |
01-10-2018, 09:53 AM | #62 |
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I have a good feeling Temple won't be an A or B win by seasons end. When they collapse, they collapse hard.
And Im honestly, if UC and Wichita State run through this league like we know they can, its going to be bad for the league overall. UC or WSU has to fall on the grenade against SMU or Houston to ensure they get in. Look at how the big easy got 7 teams like year, they did it on the collapse of Xavier and Creighton, teams who had good seasons and then got injured and gave every team in the league a top 20 win. |
01-10-2018, 10:03 AM | #63 | |
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and honestly neither team deserved to make the tournament by the committees own standards. Creighton went 7-8 without Watson, so they were an under .500 team for the team that was going to the tournament. Xavier went 6-7 without Sumner, 3 of the 6 wins coming vs Depaul. But as we have talked about before, the committee uses whatever they want for each individual case. the mark is always moving. |
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01-10-2018, 10:05 AM | #64 | |
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01-10-2018, 10:07 AM | #65 | |
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I mean, how F'n good would this league if UCONN and Memphis got their shit together? But until they do, they just look at as like were not good even though the top of our league is just as good as the pac12 and Big 10 |
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01-10-2018, 10:10 AM | #66 | |
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Pac 12 grades out barely better than us overall on kenpom. Both of us are way behind everybody else in Kenpom conference strength. and memphis and uconn wouldn't even have to be great. just not freaking awful. no excuse to not be in the top 75 for either of them. |
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01-10-2018, 10:15 AM | #67 | |
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01-10-2018, 10:33 AM | #68 | |
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The power conferences are going to look good because of their SOS or how many quality opponents they have a chance to play against. There is no way around that. The committee made a move this year that would seem to help the lower quality conferences by saying they will use more metrics and changing the variables for quality wins to include top 75 road wins. We are getting to a point that the mid major conferences are getting a slight bump. We shall see how it plays out. I still like to think we are a power conference even if at the bottom end. Adding WSU is HUGE and getting a couple more teams in the AAC to perform better than last year will also be HUGE in that the committee can't play as many favorites...even if they want to. |
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01-10-2018, 11:04 AM | #69 |
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UConn fans seem to be doing a lot of complaining that they're too good for the AAC. I never get that. You're too good? Then kick everyone's ass and prove it.
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01-10-2018, 11:11 AM | #70 |
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