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-   -   6 OOC left (https://www.bearcattalk.com/showthread.php?t=12407)

mdchick 11-26-2019 03:01 PM

6 OOC left
 
KENPOM:
UNLV: 176
Vermont: 79
@xavier: 26
Colgate: 131
Tennessee: 21
Iowa: 54

That’s tough

justinhub2003 11-26-2019 03:15 PM

I say 4-2

But I’d love to see 5-1

mdchick 11-26-2019 04:18 PM

Anything less than 3-3 no joke our chances of getting an at large bid is over

skyblade 11-26-2019 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justinhub2003 (Post 202589)
I say 4-2

But I’d love to see 5-1

4-2 seems like optimism. I'm hoping for 4-2, but that requires us to play significantly better than we have up to this point in the season. I say 3-3, possibly worse if Cumberland isn't healthy.

cincyalum2014 11-27-2019 08:32 AM

I would say 3-3... I think we beat UNLV with a healthy Jarron by 10+... Without Jarron I think we still win but it will be in the single digit range.

Id say we beat a tough Vermont team at home but it will be extremely close.

Lose to X, Tennessee, and Iowa.... Maybe surprise and win one of those...

I think we beat Colgate comfortably.

Queens_NYC 11-27-2019 08:42 AM

UNLV and Colgate are resume-killers if we lose and definite must-wins.

Vermont and Iowa while a tier above UNLV and Colgate, are still very winnable games, especially considering Iowa doesn't have any good wins yet and Vermont will be playing us on 1 day's rest.

If we beat Tenn or X at this point, I'd be very surprised, and it means we are well on our way towards competing in the AAC. Hopefully we can build off of a solid home court advantage against UT and we catch Xavier on an off day at Cintas (like when they barely beat #147 Missouri State recently).

4-2 should be the expectation with anything less being quite disappointing.

justinhub2003 11-27-2019 09:01 AM

I think if beat Vermont it’s solely on how much we slow down lamb.

Brannen broke out the 1-3-1, which you can tell was something hasn’t worked on much, but I’ll be interested to see what kind of different looks this Teams throws out on defense.

Cronin’s defense had its flaws but it also helped hide its poor defenders a lot of the times. Brannen’s defense is geared toward a more traditional man to man, and because I don’t think we have a great perimeter wing defender, it’s exposed us against teams with good wings. We allowed a player to score between 19 and 32 points in the paradise jam games.

I think rolling out a well executed 1-3-1 could be a great change of pace and will be interested to see if it’s used more to confuse the defense.

mdchick 12-07-2019 06:29 PM

2-1 so far, xavier would have been a nice one, Colgate is good but it’s at home and is obviously a must win then split with tenn and Iowa go 4-2 and the 6 game stretch would be a success

TheLivingLegend 12-07-2019 06:33 PM

Uc needs to beat Tenn and Iowa. Start of the season has been a fail.

justinhub2003 12-07-2019 07:15 PM

We don’t win the next 3, then it doesn’t matter what happens in conference. We will be playing for an NIT birth.

I wonder if practicing too hard and too fast on too quick of a time scale is causing us to be injury prone, and less energetic at the ends of games.


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