AAC Schedule Released
 

Looks like SMU, USF, Tulane, and Tulsa are the teams we play once.

Yep. Would've been nice to trade ECU at home for USF at home, but the schedule will still likely provide a healthy amount of Q1/Q2 games and hopefully only one Q4 game.

Which team do you see as Q4 at this stage?
ECU? Tulane? I haven't studied what they've got happening this season yet.

Q3 is bad enough, IMO, if you are truly trying to not be a bubble team.




Overall I'm content with this year's schedule, for a team in transition. January is going to be one challenging month! Especially that stretch of four games that are all pretty quick turnarounds.

ECU, UCF, and Tulane all had a ton of roster turnover. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the home games against ECU and UCF are Q4 (161 or worse). Away games would have to be 241 or worse, but ECU and Tulane both managed that last year.

I think ECU at home right now is the only definite Q4 (161+ NET).

I'd say there's a 1/3 chance that neither away games @ECU and @Tulane are Q4, 1/3 chance that one of those games is Q4, and a 1/3 chance both of those games are Q4.

Even with all of UCF's roster turnover, I think they still have enough high major talent to remain a top 150 team. They have a favorable AAC schedule only having to face Houston, Memphis, Temple, and UConn once. That should give them a few more winnable games over the course of the season.