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Forum: Bearcat Basketball 05-06-2022, 04:21 PM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
Other than the frosh everyone was a worse (or...

Other than the frosh everyone was a worse (or similar) 3 pt shooter than the guys you are mentioning. Other than frosh it’s more likely the guys you mentioned get better than those who would...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 05-06-2022, 12:26 PM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
You have mentioned Hensley a couple of times as...

You have mentioned Hensley a couple of times as someone who could make a jump (possibly) to a much bigger role. He's a career .186 from 3 shooter and not much scoring in between. Admittedly on low...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 05-06-2022, 07:59 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
I would also agree with Sedz that one of the best...

I would also agree with Sedz that one of the best things that could happen for the frosh would be if one of the wings can steal some time at PG opening up more minutes on the wing. DDJ or anyone...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 05-06-2022, 07:40 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
Yah I don't think we are talking about guys at...

Yah I don't think we are talking about guys at the middle and bottom of the roster cracking into the big minutes but just finding their way into the middle of the roster rotation for somewhere...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 05-05-2022, 12:07 PM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
Wes says we need to score more points and shoot...

Wes says we need to score more points and shoot better. I don't know where Hensley fits in that equation unless he makes a massive jump on offense. Ody has been around a while this is his 4th year....
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 05-05-2022, 11:53 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
I think the actual quote was something to the...

I think the actual quote was something to the effect of Wes is expecting for or hoping for a big jump coming from JD.

Getting better looks from 3 could be one way but it could also mean working...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 05-04-2022, 02:18 PM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
After reading some thoughts taken from an...

After reading some thoughts taken from an Athletic article with Wes it would seem that Vik is doing the early work to put himself in good position in terms of the bigs. That is a very welcome thing...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 05-01-2022, 08:47 PM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
Big time!!! Moving on up and into B12! What a...

Big time!!! Moving on up and into B12! What a great f-zing start!!
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-30-2022, 09:55 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 7,599
Posted By waterhead
It's not a stat I would find useful in single...

It's not a stat I would find useful in single games or even just a few games. But how the team is playing over the long term when certain players are on the floor is something I would want to know
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-29-2022, 11:02 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
That is weird because his ORTG on Torvik he was...

That is weird because his ORTG on Torvik he was the highest on the team.

But I am sure his shot selection will change quite a bit as he will not be a top 3 option. Also I would suspect Wes will...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-29-2022, 10:04 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 7,599
Posted By waterhead
I guess an easy way to minimize meaningless...

I guess an easy way to minimize meaningless possessions would be to use just the first half plus minus numbers from Gamebook. And maybe add 2nd half numbers for conference games that were...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-29-2022, 09:53 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 7,599
Posted By waterhead
JD also missed a game as well as Newman. And...

JD also missed a game as well as Newman. And Newman was on a pretty good streak right before injury and then didn't do a lot for a 6-7 game stretch. He did finish out pretty strong after that.
...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-29-2022, 12:30 AM
Replies: 99
Views: 7,599
Posted By waterhead
His numbers are going to be correct for whatever...

His numbers are going to be correct for whatever measures he is using. I don’t think they are wrong. I am just saying it’s not an actual plus minus number. It’s weighted somehow. Maybe it’s...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 09:28 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 7,599
Posted By waterhead
By the way I don’t place ANY emphasis on...

By the way I don’t place ANY emphasis on individual games or even short stretches. I only like plus minus over long term.
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 09:25 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 7,599
Posted By waterhead
He describes his process as stats related. An...

He describes his process as stats related. An adjusted BPM which is also an algorithm. Plus minus IS already THE stat if you are calculating it you divide by number of games.
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 09:10 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 7,599
Posted By waterhead
Go Bearcats does have all the gamebooks. I was...

Go Bearcats does have all the gamebooks. I was calculating up until about 6-8 games left in season. I am confident in what I calculated for actual.

I explained to Sedz how to find some of the...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 08:35 PM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
I don’t put a lot of stock in D ratings off...

I don’t put a lot of stock in D ratings off algorithms. You can’t measure on ball D with stats. Offense is a lot different. D is a crap shoot. I have seen JD out there as a very good defender and...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 04:42 PM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
I agree with your point about shiny new objects! ...

I agree with your point about shiny new objects! That pretty well sums it up. However, with Nolley I would not mind seeing point forward for 5 minutes a half (if he can do it) if not DDJ 5 minutes...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 03:23 PM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
We put a lot of emphasis on portal players but I...

We put a lot of emphasis on portal players but I do agree with you that it should be tempered. That being said last year we were one of 5 teams to get 3 top 100 portal guys (according to I can't...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 11:15 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
Nolley is a career 80% FT shooter. Just imagine...

Nolley is a career 80% FT shooter. Just imagine if he can work from the perimeter. Take away that midrange BS and go to the rack.

Wes seems both a little stubborn but also a bit pliable. He's...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 10:38 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
In terms of penetrating we lost Mason, AJ and...

In terms of penetrating we lost Mason, AJ and Mike. Hard to see how Nolley is not an improvement. I imagine Rob can do about as good as Mike. Kalu would be better than Ado or Koval. Mason was not...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 10:33 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
Nolley is a career 35% on good volume from 3. ...

Nolley is a career 35% on good volume from 3. That is not something I would call a problem given our past production as a team. His frosh year was his lowest year on much higher volume. 32%. Last...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 10:29 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
I think you have to account for how Memphis was...

I think you have to account for how Memphis was using Nolley almost as a post up 4 at times. He does not want to play the 4 because of how he was used and Memphis had some big time dunkers in their...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 09:36 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
Nice assessment. I would add that a Wes style vs...

Nice assessment. I would add that a Wes style vs a Cronin style is drastically different in shot selection and tempo. Therefore I would assume our efficiency will lag behind once again. But it's...
Forum: Bearcat Basketball 04-28-2022, 08:34 AM
Replies: 297
Views: 20,288
Posted By waterhead
This would be my preference or DDJ for a spurt at...

This would be my preference or DDJ for a spurt at the 1. Not a long time but for 10 minutes get Rob and MAW off the floor. Allows 3 best scorers and Newman to be on the floor with whoever our best...
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