Thread: new metric
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Old 03-05-2019, 12:32 PM   #74
sedziobs
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Quote:
Originally Posted by waterhead View Post
Thanks for doing that. It wasn't just the Houston game for UCF. They blew the doors off of SMU and handled USF away quite nicely. They are playing some damn good basketball and I am more than a little worried going to their house on senior day. If we beat them it will be no small feat.
Most of Torvik's UCF change is due to overvaluing the blowout over SMU. This is the basic point I'm trying to make.

Before SMU game and change:
46 BPI (-5)
50 Kenpom (-4)
41 Sagarin (-3)
44 Torvik (-12)

Before Houston game and change:
40 BPI (-6)
42 Kenpom (-6)
36 Sagarin (-4)
31 Torvik (-4)

The other rankings discount the huge margin, and rewarded UCF more for their win at Houston than their home win vs SMU. Torvik valued the Houston win only a third as much as the SMU blowout. That doesn't pass the smell test for me.
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