Thread: new metric
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Old 03-05-2019, 12:54 PM   #75
waterhead
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sedziobs View Post
Most of Torvik's UCF change is due to overvaluing the blowout over SMU. This is the basic point I'm trying to make.

Before SMU game and change:
46 BPI (-5)
50 Kenpom (-4)
41 Sagarin (-3)
44 Torvik (-12)

Before Houston game and change:
40 BPI (-6)
42 Kenpom (-6)
36 Sagarin (-4)
31 Torvik (-4)

The other rankings discount the huge margin, and rewarded UCF more for their win at Houston than their home win vs SMU. Torvik valued the Houston win only a third as much as the SMU blowout. That doesn't pass the smell test for me.
I understand what you have been saying about Torvik. All I am saying is that UCF has played damn good basketball and they are moving the needle in the right direction. Just to beat Houston away is huge but their other convincing wins tell a story about where they are as a team right now compared to where we are.

Our needle is not moving but I will take the W's.
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