Quote:
Originally Posted by sedziobs
I assume you meant 16-2. Let's assume that Tennessee does fall out of the top 75 and we have zero Q1 or Q2 OOC wins and two bad losses. In league play we are likely going to have 7-8 Q1 games and 4-5 Q2 games. So if we go 15-3, we would have at least 8 quality wins and only 8 total losses. That is definitely a tournament resume.
It's actually very similar to Temple last season. They went 8-7 in Q1/Q2 games with 1 bad loss, then lost to Wichita St in the first round of the AAC tournament but still got an at-large bid. So 15-3 probably gets us in even in a worst case scenario. But if we get some breaks (Vermont/Tennessee top 75, Houston/Temple top 30, Tulane/USF top 135), we can lose a few more games and still be on the bubble.
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And what have you seen from this team that says we can go 15-3?
This is the worst offense we’ve had since 2015, and the worst defense
Since 2009
15-3 is what we did under elite defensive coaching.
But to this point I see zero reason why we should ever expect this team to go 15-3
I’m not one but confident about beating UConn next Wednesday at home.
My point is.... the season is a wash because unless some miracle occurs, we have no chance to go 15-3
Add in that if we do go 15-3 the chances are we lose 3 games on the road which hurts your tier 1 wins.
I’m borderline confident that we lose twice to WSU, Memphis and Houston. They have better players or better coaches.