Quote:
Originally Posted by justinhub2003
The facts are we absolutely must either go undefeated or 14-2 or better to make the tourney.
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I assume you meant 16-2. Let's assume that Tennessee does fall out of the top 75 and we have zero Q1 or Q2 OOC wins and two bad losses. In league play we are likely going to have 7-8 Q1 games and 4-5 Q2 games. So if we go 15-3, we would have at least 8 quality wins and only 8 total losses. That is definitely a tournament resume.
It's actually very similar to Temple last season. They went 8-7 in Q1/Q2 games with 1 bad loss, then lost to Wichita St in the first round of the AAC tournament but still got an at-large bid. So 15-3 probably gets us in even in a worst case scenario. But if we get some breaks (Vermont/Tennessee top 75, Houston/Temple top 30, Tulane/USF top 135), we can lose a few more games and still be on the bubble.