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Old 01-21-2017, 08:13 AM   #2511
ervins84
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Emperor Snapper View Post
True Shooting percentage is probably a better guide for efficiency (pts per FGA essentially gives a guy a free pass when he misses a free throw); Jenifer actually moves ahead of Caupain on the TS% list - ignoring the walk-ons, only Moore (46.1%) ranks behind Caupain & Johnson (51.7%; 50.7%).

In fairness, however, being the guys stuck handling the ball at the end of the shot clock tends to drive these numbers down; Broome & Jenifer will probably be near the bottom next year; Cumberland and Evans may see their efficiency numbers fall if they have to take more shots or get more ball handling responsibility.

That said, Caupain and Johnson are also the two worst players on the team at finishing at the rim (65.1% and 60.9%, respectively). Cane Broome, for his part, shot just 57% at the rim last year at Sacred Heart, but he took a lot of shots there (making him a more efficient scorer overall).

The point is, I don't think it is a guarantee that their graduation will dramatically affect offensive efficiency - Broome was much better at getting into the paint & drawing fouls when at Sacred Heart, and took the vast majority of his shots either near the basket or outside the arc (something UC needs more of). But he wasn't terribly good at hitting shots from either location. Now, on the one hand his volume will be lower, which should make him more efficient; on the other hand, he will be facing better competition.

The team will look different, and I suspect they will take and make more 3s next year, but increased efficiency is not as simple as removing two of the poorer shooters and sending the shots elsewhere.

Post more please. This is really insightful analysis.

Mods, if you're out there maybe we can get a Sticky Thread at the top of the forum for posts like this that are really good and every one should read.
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