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Old 03-13-2022, 10:38 PM   #3
sedziobs
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The stat I like to rely on for offensive efficiency is true shooting percentage. Assuming turnovers and offensive rebounds roughly cancel each other out, you need to have a true shooting percentage of 50 to score 1 point per possession, which is an average offense. Top 50 offenses score 1.06 points per possession, which should be our goal. That means a true shooting percentage of 53.

This season we had only one player clear that mark (Lakhin). Compare that to our 2018 team that had seven. Davenport was close at 52.6. Five others were above average (Madsen, Ado, DDJ, Saunders, Ody). Newman and Hensley were below average. MAW and Koval were bad (MAW put up a terrible sub-46 mark).

Of our starting 5 this year, we had two players with bad true shooting percentages and one (Ado) who's usage was so low that his efficiency was irrelevant. So we had three guys who struggle to put the ball in the basket. Having one of those kind of players as either a defensive specialist or distributor is ok, but not the majority of the starting lineup. And the two guys who could score were increasingly attacked on defense as the season went on.

Going forward I think we need to prioritize players who can efficiently put the ball in the basket. Ado and Koval are departing, so hopefully we can get more production out of the 5 spot by default. I think Newman's below average numbers are tolerable since he is our best on ball defender, though I think he would ideally be a bench player. The main issue I have is with MAW. He was second on the team in minutes this season despite his terrible scoring numbers. We can't have a good offense if that happens again.
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