Quote:
Originally Posted by kskenyon4
I did 14-4.
my rationale is we won't go better than 7-2 on the road, between SMU/UCF/UConn/Houston/Memphis/Temple. To be honest I expect a 6-3 road record, and a 8-1 home record.
This is just spitballing, but 25-6, going into the conference tourney, would be a 4-6 seed or so. I like having the wiggle room of going 13-5 and not being on the bubble in all probability.
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Yeah, at 13-5 I think we are safely in. At 12-6, it's possible we could be sweating an early conference tournament loss (although still probably safe). Although our computer numbers are strong, my only concern is that our best OOC wins were against teams that will likely fall on the wrong side of the bubble. But I think when the regular season is done, we will be somewhere around a 6 or 7 seed. My prediction is we go to the conference championship game against Houston with a record of 27-6 (14-4). That's 2-3 wins better than I would have predicted at the beginning of the year.