|
View Poll Results: What seed will UC get? | |||
1-2 | 9 | 14.52% | |
3 | 27 | 43.55% | |
4 | 15 | 24.19% | |
5 | 9 | 14.52% | |
6 | 2 | 3.23% | |
7 or worse | 0 | 0% | |
Voters: 62. You may not vote on this poll |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
03-14-2018, 06:20 AM | #601 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 148
|
|
03-14-2018, 07:46 AM | #602 |
Epic Member
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 17,011
|
MuskieTalk.com
Smh... |
03-14-2018, 08:45 AM | #603 | ||
Senior Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
|
Quote:
Quote:
|
||
03-14-2018, 08:54 AM | #604 |
Senior Moderator
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 9,298
|
This is the year all remaining monkeys come off our back. The last one is getting to the Elite 8 and beyond. This team has been able to cross some things off the list this year and I expect it to continue.
Outright conference title Conference tourney champs Won some major awards in conference We got a good seed, a decent draw and didn't get shipped out west We did not win all games at home but we just did that last year. We did not beat X but we did that last year. The only thing left is the NCAA tourney monkey. I hope some of the minor hand injuries don't affect our shooting too much. Other than that I think we are ready as a team to get the job done. |
03-14-2018, 11:53 AM | #605 | |
Epic Member
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 5,583
|
Quote:
That’s not what I mean. Kenpom predicted us to beat WSU and Houston individually in both. Games. And we lost. He is saying that other team are better because of the metrics say they are, but the metrics saying we were better than Houston and WSU meant nothing. We still lost. Kenpoms individual matchup predictions never match the over all record prediction Last edited by justinhub2003; 03-14-2018 at 11:55 AM. |
|
03-14-2018, 12:19 PM | #606 | |
Senior Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
|
Quote:
A loss by a team that metrics say is better does not disprove the metric. Similarly, Vegas odds aren't meaningless because the underdog wins sometimes. An aggregate record of thousands of games that is significantly different than the predicted aggregate record disproves the metric. Kenpom performs exceptionally well in that regard. Xavier's probability of reaching the elite 8 is the product of their probability in each individual game. It is not 100% because they have more kenpom wins than each team. You don't have to understand metrics to be a basketball fan. But you should understand them to make claims about them. You have some work to do on that front. |
|
03-14-2018, 01:57 PM | #607 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Mt Lookout
Posts: 211
|
Thank you. This is like when Nate Silver said Hilary had a 72% chance of winning and when Trump won a lot of people tried to call him a fraud. That's what the 28% means!!!
Absolutely no offense to any other poster on this board but the basics of statistics and probability are so out of reach to so many people. GSU has gaudy stats that Bearcat fans should definitely pay attention to (I was at first pretty alarmed) such as 3pt% and def FG% but here are some facts we should be confident in: 1. We are one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country. A big part of our offense is second chance points. GSU is probably the worst defensive rebounding team in the tournament. We should out rebound them by 20 and get 25 pts on second chance points. 2. We are currently a 14 point favorite. Vegas doesn't lose money. 3. They play 6 players. We play 9 freak athletes and 2 skilled PGs. 4. They have one player with the highest usage rate in the tournament. See: Rob Gray, BJ Taylor Let's avoid the uber-embarrassment of losing to a 15 seed and beat the brakes off of them at the tip. |
03-14-2018, 03:02 PM | #608 |
Epic Member
Join Date: Nov 2016
Posts: 2,183
|
Virginia is down the sixth man of the year in the ACC/their best pro prospect. Gives us an even better chance against them if we can make it that far
|
03-14-2018, 03:07 PM | #609 |
Epic Member
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 1,680
|
|
Bookmarks |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|