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Old 03-03-2018, 07:29 PM   #2221
Jon Rycek
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Originally Posted by justinhub2003 View Post
Look I hate Xavier and I hope nothing but the worst for them.

But the reality is; good breaks or not, they capitalize on luck far more than we do and they advance in the tourney much more than we do.

Can they get beat early? Sure and I hope they do, but I can easily see them making their first final four just like Gonzaga did last year. They have all the required part of what it takes to win and while they don’t defend well on a grand scale, they do buckle down and get stops when they need to.

It’s going to be embarrassing if they make it further in the tourney than us again. I hope that doesn’t happen
Capitalize on luck lol.
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Old 03-03-2018, 07:52 PM   #2222
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Originally Posted by Jon Rycek View Post
Capitalize on luck lol.
Lol what a statement
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Old 03-03-2018, 08:30 PM   #2223
cincrulz11
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Originally Posted by Jon Rycek View Post
Capitalize on luck lol.
yeah you know, like having creighton go 1-12 the last 8 minutes of the game and manage to pull out that 1 point win despite that fact that xavier was only down 1 point when creighton started missing all those shots.


thats all senior leadership and coaching, im telling you (and a bs foul call cause they still couldn't manage to legit win that one)
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Old 03-03-2018, 08:56 PM   #2224
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It's really not hard. If we look at the other teams rated highly in luck, shouldn't we see a bunch of teams with high level coaching, great 1on1 players, Sr leadership, or something else tangible?

But you know who the top 10 in luck are?

#1 UMBC
#2 Xavier
#3 Memphis
#4 Savannah St
#5 Tenn Tech
#6 Ill St
#7 SD St
#8 Lipscomb
#9 UNC Asheville
#10 George Mason


And the list doesn't get much better as you scroll further.

So... Do we ascribe the same narrative to those other 9 teams that share roughly the same amount of luck as X has had this year?
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Old 03-03-2018, 09:10 PM   #2225
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I don't root for Duke often but....
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Old 03-03-2018, 09:14 PM   #2226
justinhub2003
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You guys are being good Bearcats fans but terrible college basketball analysts.

We were gifted a victory at temple because of dunphys unlucky water bottle grab.,

Luck doesn’t sink 2 clutch free throws after a sketchy foul call. Luck doesn’t sink the and 1 on a 3 point foul.

Capitalizing on luck is a real thing and I’ll just call you a not so smart person if you don’t think so.

Luck didn’t win the big east for Xavier.

Add in that, I guess Xavier is lucky every year in the tourney and some how we are always just unlucky right ?
They beat the piss out of us too, I guess that’s luck as well.

Put away the homerism a bit and jus recognize that their senior class is clutch and knows how to win. They have an elite 8, a Sweet 16, and now a #1 seed for the first time ever. But yea, luck.

You guys made me defend Xavier. That’s gross. But stupid basketball analysis is still stupid basketball analysis.
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Old 03-03-2018, 09:32 PM   #2227
Jon Rycek
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Quote:
Originally Posted by justinhub2003 View Post
You guys are being good Bearcats fans but terrible college basketball analysts.

We were gifted a victory at temple because of dunphys unlucky water bottle grab.,

Luck doesn’t sink 2 clutch free throws after a sketchy foul call. Luck doesn’t sink the and 1 on a 3 point foul.

Capitalizing on luck is a real thing and I’ll just call you a not so smart person if you don’t think so.

Luck didn’t win the big east for Xavier.

Add in that, I guess Xavier is lucky every year in the tourney and some how we are always just unlucky right ?
They beat the piss out of us too, I guess that’s luck as well.

Put away the homerism a bit and jus recognize that their senior class is clutch and knows how to win. They have an elite 8, a Sweet 16, and now a #1 seed for the first time ever. But yea, luck.

You guys made me defend Xavier. That’s gross. But stupid basketball analysis is still stupid basketball analysis.
Wouldn't say they "beat the piss out of us." They got up by 16 in the first like 7-8 minutes. And we outscored them the rest of the game. Just saying.and you don't think they've had better matchups in the tourney than us? I mean that's just a fact, it's not about being a homer. And finally, Kenpom doesn't track luck because Cincinnati fans made it up, Xavier is statistically the second luckiest team in basketball. But yeah they're just good, no luck.
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Old 03-03-2018, 09:36 PM   #2228
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Quote:
Originally Posted by justinhub2003 View Post
You guys are being good Bearcats fans but terrible college basketball analysts.

We were gifted a victory at temple because of dunphys unlucky water bottle grab.,

Luck doesn’t sink 2 clutch free throws after a sketchy foul call. Luck doesn’t sink the and 1 on a 3 point foul.

Capitalizing on luck is a real thing and I’ll just call you a not so smart person if you don’t think so.

Luck didn’t win the big east for Xavier.

Add in that, I guess Xavier is lucky every year in the tourney and some how we are always just unlucky right ?
They beat the piss out of us too, I guess that’s luck as well.

Put away the homerism a bit and jus recognize that their senior class is clutch and knows how to win. They have an elite 8, a Sweet 16, and now a #1 seed for the first time ever. But yea, luck.

You guys made me defend Xavier. That’s gross. But stupid basketball analysis is still stupid basketball analysis.
Luck Is What Happens When Preparation Meets Opportunity
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Old 03-03-2018, 10:01 PM   #2229
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Originally Posted by justinhub2003 View Post
You guys are being good Bearcats fans but terrible college basketball analysts.

we are being neither while you're being both. and you're calling us stupid.



i'm not even coming at this as a bearcat fan and i know ervins isn't either. we are coming at it from a math perspective that says winning that many close games, no matter who is on your team, is nearly impossible. the fact that you went on that rant AFTER ervins posted the list of the top 10 teams in luck factor is rather hilarious and proof you have no clue what you're talking about.
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Old 03-03-2018, 10:18 PM   #2230
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Originally Posted by cincrulz11 View Post
we are being neither while you're being both. and you're calling us stupid.



i'm not even coming at this as a bearcat fan and i know ervins isn't either. we are coming at it from a math perspective that says winning that many close games, no matter who is on your team, is nearly impossible. the fact that you went on that rant AFTER ervins posted the list of the top 10 teams in luck factor is rather hilarious and proof you have no clue what you're talking about.
Aw what about me
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