Go Back   BearcatTalk.com > Cincinnati Basketball > Bearcat Basketball

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-25-2020, 09:45 AM   #1
justinhub2003
Epic Member
 
justinhub2003's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 4,752
justinhub2003 is on a distinguished road
Houston: Round 2: The Battle for Everything

  • Kenpom lists us a 7 point underdog (70-63)
  • Houston has the Number 1 Defense in Conference play.
  • Houston has the #2 Offense in Conference play
  • UC has the number 4 defense in conference play
  • UC has the #3 offense in Conference play
  • A key to the game will be eliminating self inflicted TO's. Houston does not try and create them. They are 12th in the league in Steal %, 7th in TO percentage
  • UC gets its shot blocked more than any other team (which is fine, it means were aggressive) and Houston is the 3rd best shot blocking team
  • Our overall fouling on defense is much improved. Our FTA/FGA is now 2nd in league play
  • Houston on the other hand, is foul prone, in fact half of their defensive strategy seems to be that they can't call them all. They are 11th in FTA/FGA
  • Battle of the boards. The 2 best offensive rebounding teams face off
  • Houston is allowing just 25% from the 3 point line this year in conference.
  • UC is allowing a higher percentage from 3 than Houston actually shoots.

To me Houston is an extremely tough matchup because they:
1. Double every single post touch, which basically takes your big out of the game.
2. They then put on ball pressure around the 3 point line from long lengthy guards that don't allow you to get off 3 pointers
3. You can't try and just focus on one guy. Houston has had huge performances Sasser, Grimes, Jarreau, Hinton and Mills

Jarreau has scored in double figures 14 times
Sasser 9 times
Mills 18 times
Grimes 16 times
Hinton 14 times

You can totally eliminate Jarreau and Mills and yet still lose because Sasser, Hinton and Grimes filled in.

We turned Mills into a high volume low efficiency shooter in the last game. We made him take a lot of long two's.

For me the goals to win this game would be:
-Limit turnovers, Zero excuses for turnovers against a team that doesn't gamble
-Force the issue with fouls AND make your free throws.
-Pack in the paint as much as possible and don't bite on drive and kick. Can't collapse on the ball every possession
-Don't get rattled. I don't think we've been rattled all year. No reason to start now.
-Defend for 40 minutes. A week off should be plenty of time to give it your all.
-Need really solid defense. Houston will spread you out and then play ISO ball, especially with mills. Jarron and Keith both did a great job with this last time.


Bait Jarreau into a bite

justinhub2003 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-25-2020, 10:03 AM   #2
cincyguy13
Epic Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 3,392
cincyguy13 is on a distinguished road
Battle of the century!!!
I give us a 25% chance
cincyguy13 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-25-2020, 10:07 AM   #3
kskenyon4
Senior Member
 
kskenyon4's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 454
kskenyon4 is on a distinguished road
A game of epic proportions.

Love the sound of "swept Houston and Wichita State" come Selection Sunday.
kskenyon4 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-25-2020, 11:37 AM   #4
Loser Mentality
Member
 
Join Date: May 2019
Posts: 67
Loser Mentality is on a distinguished road
Keys:

Get back to some form of ball movement to re incorporate Vogt. The angles of getting him the ball have been terrible since Jarron took over at PG.

Keith W: Stay out of foul trouble, mental trouble, and score in double figures with 5 or more rebounds.

Jarron: Limit turnovers, make the simple non spectacular passes. Get other guys involved besides Tre S.

Tre: I would like to see 4 assists from Tre, once again since Jarron is at the PG, Tre no longer looks to pass, which we lose open buckets from other players with his new scoring focus. Can't and wont knock his effort.

Maw: Be aggressive on offense and sneak in 10pts or better for the game.

Vogt: He needs his deep touches, I can see his confidence dwindling slowly

Bench: Good D and 20+ points

Hopefully the guys will be rested and will give 100% effort. Rebound as a team, and keep their man in front of them on Defense.

Brannen: Don't get out coached
Loser Mentality is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-25-2020, 12:03 PM   #5
justinhub2003
Epic Member
 
justinhub2003's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 4,752
justinhub2003 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Loser Mentality View Post
Keys:

Get back to some form of ball movement to re incorporate Vogt. The angles of getting him the ball have been terrible since Jarron took over at PG.

Keith W: Stay out of foul trouble, mental trouble, and score in double figures with 5 or more rebounds.

Jarron: Limit turnovers, make the simple non spectacular passes. Get other guys involved besides Tre S.

Tre: I would like to see 4 assists from Tre, once again since Jarron is at the PG, Tre no longer looks to pass, which we lose open buckets from other players with his new scoring focus. Can't and wont knock his effort.

Maw: Be aggressive on offense and sneak in 10pts or better for the game.

Vogt: He needs his deep touches, I can see his confidence dwindling slowly

Bench: Good D and 20+ points

Hopefully the guys will be rested and will give 100% effort. Rebound as a team, and keep their man in front of them on Defense.

Brannen: Don't get out coached


Iím all for Vogt getting more deep touches.

But Houstonís ďmonsterĒ defense, a term they lose to trap the post, makes it really hard to score from the post. The best thing we can do is get the defense to collapse on Vogt and use it to get some big to big passing. But Vogt didnít pass well at all the last time we played them.

He Did score 10 points once we figured out the coverage more.
justinhub2003 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-25-2020, 12:34 PM   #6
Chance2017
Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2020
Posts: 45
Chance2017 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by justinhub2003 View Post
Iím all for Vogt getting more deep touches.

But Houstonís ďmonsterĒ defense, a term they lose to trap the post, makes it really hard to score from the post. The best thing we can do is get the defense to collapse on Vogt and use it to get some big to big passing. But Vogt didnít pass well at all the last time we played them.

He Did score 10 points once we figured out the coverage more.
I think UC benefits more from playing Houston already. I say that because UC plays a pretty conventional man to man. Houston on the other hand plays an aggressive trapping D that we weren't used to seeing. You would hope we are more prepared for that this time around.

Outliers from the Feb 1 matchup:
- Caleb Mills played bad(3-19 FG). You would expect him to get back to his averages.
-They were missing Jarreau down the stretch.
-Jarron was 5-12 at the line
-Sasser 4-5 from 3

Prediciton:
UC 68- Houston 65

My key to the game is to play D without fouling. I think the Cats do that and find a way to win. A refreshed and desperate group of seniors make the plays to win this one.
Chance2017 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-25-2020, 01:21 PM   #7
mdchick
Epic Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,638
mdchick is on a distinguished road
Thereís no way we win this game, just start preparing for USF and play Sam Martin and coz 40 mins
mdchick is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-25-2020, 01:26 PM   #8
Jon Rycek
Epic Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2016
Posts: 1,973
Jon Rycek is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by mdchick View Post
Thereís no way we win this game, just start preparing for USF and play Sam Martin and coz 40 mins
Nice
Jon Rycek is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-25-2020, 01:28 PM   #9
justinhub2003
Epic Member
 
justinhub2003's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 4,752
justinhub2003 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chance2017 View Post
I think UC benefits more from playing Houston already. I say that because UC plays a pretty conventional man to man. Houston on the other hand plays an aggressive trapping D that we weren't used to seeing. You would hope we are more prepared for that this time around.

Outliers from the Feb 1 matchup:
- Caleb Mills played bad(3-19 FG). You would expect him to get back to his averages.
-They were missing Jarreau down the stretch.
-Jarron was 5-12 at the line
-Sasser 4-5 from 3

Prediciton:
UC 68- Houston 65

My key to the game is to play D without fouling. I think the Cats do that and find a way to win. A refreshed and desperate group of seniors make the plays to win this one.
Sasserís 3 point shooting is no longer starting to look like an outlier performance and rather a new norm for him.

Last three games from 3:
4-10
3-8
5-10


My guess is that he escaped the scouting report the first time but he wonít this time.
justinhub2003 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-25-2020, 01:29 PM   #10
justinhub2003
Epic Member
 
justinhub2003's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 4,752
justinhub2003 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by mdchick View Post
Thereís no way we win this game, just start preparing for USF and play Sam Martin and coz 40 mins
I feel this In my soul.
justinhub2003 is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump



Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2020, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd., - All material on this Cincinnati Bearcat discussion forum is strictly for entertainment purposes only. This site and any pages within are in no way affiliated with the University of Cincinnati. Any images, copyrights, or trademarks used on this site are used under the "Fair Use Provision" of the Copyright Act for purposes of comment, criticism, and news reporting.