Go Back   BearcatTalk.com > Cincinnati Basketball > Bearcat Basketball

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-04-2019, 08:14 AM   #41
sedziobs
Senior Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
sedziobs is on a distinguished road
Weekly update:

7. Houston (Q1,Q1)
25. Cincinnati
26. Mississippi St (Q1)
35. Ohio St (Q2)
39. Ole Miss (Q1)
44. UCF (Q1,Q2)
54. Temple (Q1)
70. Memphis (Q1,Q2)
71. South Florida (Q2)
74. UConn (Q1,Q2)
86. UCLA
93. Xavier
99. Tulsa (Q2)
112. NKU
113. SMU (Q2)
125. Wichita St (Q2)
126. George Mason
159. UNLV
262. East Carolina (Q4)

Last edited by sedziobs; 02-04-2019 at 08:49 AM.
sedziobs is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-04-2019, 08:27 AM   #42
Queens_NYC
Epic Member
 
Queens_NYC's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 1,655
Queens_NYC is on a distinguished road
Here is our current record against each quadrant:

Q1: 2-1

Q2: 4-1

Q3: 7-0

Q4: 6-1

Remaining regular season games

Q1: 5 games

Q2: 3 games

Q3: 1 game

Q4: N/A
Queens_NYC is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-04-2019, 04:35 PM   #43
sirthought
Senior Member
 
sirthought's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Location: Down by river
Posts: 317
sirthought is on a distinguished road
Thanks for posting these updates.
sirthought is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-2019, 11:48 AM   #44
waterhead
Senior Moderator
 
waterhead's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 9,298
waterhead is on a distinguished road
Not sure just how much the NET will take metrics into consideration but we have won 7 games in a row and have moved down or stayed about even on the T-rank metric currently 30th. However he has us as projected with 6 losses and finishing 18th in the NET. And this is a 7 seed? I hope the win total will push us to a 6 seed.
waterhead is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-2019, 12:49 PM   #45
sedziobs
Senior Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
sedziobs is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by waterhead View Post
Not sure just how much the NET will take metrics into consideration but we have won 7 games in a row and have moved down or stayed about even on the T-rank metric currently 30th. However he has us as projected with 6 losses and finishing 18th in the NET. And this is a 7 seed? I hope the win total will push us to a 6 seed.
Torvik predicts Ole Miss and Memphis will drop out of Q1. He thinks we win one more Q1 game, for a total of two. It's hard to get a good seed with a resume that has only a couple of Q1 wins and a Q4 loss. It will be very important for Ole Miss, Memphis and UConn to finish in Q1.
sedziobs is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-2019, 01:05 PM   #46
Queens_NYC
Epic Member
 
Queens_NYC's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 1,655
Queens_NYC is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by sedziobs View Post
Torvik predicts Ole Miss and Memphis will drop out of Q1. He thinks we win one more Q1 game, for a total of two. It's hard to get a good seed with a resume that has only a couple of Q1 wins and a Q4 loss. It will be very important for Ole Miss, Memphis and UConn to finish in Q1.
Jalen Adams is out for the rest of the regular season. UConn is a near lock to fall out of Q1 for good.

Ole Miss has lost 4 of their last 6 after cranking out 10 straight wins after we beat them. They play 5 of their final 9 on the road and have home games against UK and Tennessee. If they finish Q1 they will have certainly earned it.

Aside from visiting us again, and maybe @UCF, Memphis's remaining schedule is pretty tame. Key games to preserve Q1 status will be @Wichita State and home against Temple.
Queens_NYC is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-2019, 02:31 PM   #47
sedziobs
Senior Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
sedziobs is on a distinguished road
We'll see how UConn responds. All but one of their remaining games are Q1 or Q2, so they really just need to tread water. I'm not counting on it, but they still have a chance.

Ole Miss is sort of in the same boat. 5-4 probably keeps them top 50. All of their losses are in Q1 right now.
sedziobs is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-11-2019, 10:53 AM   #48
sedziobs
Senior Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
sedziobs is on a distinguished road
Weekly update:

7. Houston (Q1,Q1)
24. Cincinnati
29. Mississippi St (Q1)
36. Ole Miss (Q1)
38. Ohio St (Q2)
46. UCF (Q1,Q2)
55. Temple (Q1)
67. South Florida (Q2)
68. Memphis (Q1,Q2)
79. UConn (Q2)
81. Tulsa (Q2)
104. UCLA
105. NKU
107. SMU (Q2)
108. Xavier
116. Wichita St (Q2)
138. George Mason
156. UNLV
270. East Carolina (Q4)
sedziobs is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-14-2019, 09:44 AM   #49
waterhead
Senior Moderator
 
waterhead's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 9,298
waterhead is on a distinguished road
I ran the team cast on T-rank. Right now it seems we are securely locked into a 6-7 seed range. But here are some scenarios I ran.

0-1 losses from here on out...6 seed
2-3 losses from here on out...7 seed


I would be shocked if we lost 4 but that would put us as an 8 seed. If we ran the table and made the conference tourney final maybe we would have a shot at a 5 seed but I would also be shocked if we did that.

The most probable scenarios have us as a 6 or 7 seed and I am happy with that.
waterhead is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-14-2019, 10:03 AM   #50
waterhead
Senior Moderator
 
waterhead's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2010
Posts: 9,298
waterhead is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by waterhead View Post
I ran the team cast on T-rank. Right now it seems we are securely locked into a 6-7 seed range. But here are some scenarios I ran.

0-1 losses from here on out...6 seed
2-3 losses from here on out...7 seed


I would be shocked if we lost 4 but that would put us as an 8 seed. If we ran the table and made the conference tourney final maybe we would have a shot at a 5 seed but I would also be shocked if we did that.

The most probable scenarios have us as a 6 or 7 seed and I am happy with that.
I would probably put the over under at 2 losses right now with a margin of error of 1. T-rank has us losing 3 more but it probably doesn't take into account Jalen Adams being out or SMU having player issues etc.

Either way it's going to take some good basketball to get a 6 seed and average basketball to get a 7. Awesome basketball to get a 5 or horrible basketball to get an 8. If...IF..T-rank is on the money.
waterhead is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump



Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd., - All material on this Cincinnati Bearcat discussion forum is strictly for entertainment purposes only. This site and any pages within are in no way affiliated with the University of Cincinnati. Any images, copyrights, or trademarks used on this site are used under the "Fair Use Provision" of the Copyright Act for purposes of comment, criticism, and news reporting.