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View Poll Results: What seed will UC get?
1-2 9 14.52%
3 27 43.55%
4 15 24.19%
5 9 14.52%
6 2 3.23%
7 or worse 0 0%
Voters: 62. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 01-17-2018, 08:03 PM   #1
jacobkdoyle
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Bracketology

I'm not the best at tracking this stuff, so hopefully some of you hardcore number crunchers can have at this thread. I guess we're getting to the point where the cement is starting to dry a bit and this stuff is starting to carry more weight.

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Old 01-17-2018, 08:08 PM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jacobkdoyle View Post
I'm not the best at tracking this stuff, so hopefully some of you hardcore number crunchers can have at this thread. I guess we're getting to the point where the cement is starting to dry a bit and this stuff is starting to carry more weight.
We are currently a 5 as per Lunardi
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Old 01-17-2018, 08:20 PM   #3
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If you aren't familiar with it, two sites to use

www.bracketmatrix.com

Compiles over 70 different people who do this. Shows average, high and low ranges, and links to each guys bracket. I think the wisdom of the crowds is pretty much +/- 1 seed line come selection Sunday for the vast majority of teams.


Also really like warren Nolan's site for tracking RPI. We all know the metric is dumb, but the committee use it and this is updated in real time almost instantly, gives projections, impact games that you can see what if stuff for rankings depending on future outcomes etc. Lots of cool features

http://warrennolan.com/basketball/20...ule/Cincinnati
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Old 01-17-2018, 08:51 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ervins84 View Post
If you aren't familiar with it, two sites to use

www.bracketmatrix.com

Compiles over 70 different people who do this. Shows average, high and low ranges, and links to each guys bracket. I think the wisdom of the crowds is pretty much +/- 1 seed line come selection Sunday for the vast majority of teams.


Also really like warren Nolan's site for tracking RPI. We all know the metric is dumb, but the committee use it and this is updated in real time almost instantly, gives projections, impact games that you can see what if stuff for rankings depending on future outcomes etc. Lots of cool features

http://warrennolan.com/basketball/20...ule/Cincinnati
Cool sites. I like the last one a lot. It predicts we win out till the last game and end up RPI 16. The 4 toughest games are WSU away, SMU away, Houston away, WSU home...in that order. 2 point dogs against WSU away but only favored by 2 or 3 over SMU and Houston.

I will still be happy with 2 losses from here on out but we control destiny again.
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Old 01-17-2018, 09:06 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ervins84 View Post
If you aren't familiar with it, two sites to use

www.bracketmatrix.com

Compiles over 70 different people who do this. Shows average, high and low ranges, and links to each guys bracket. I think the wisdom of the crowds is pretty much +/- 1 seed line come selection Sunday for the vast majority of teams.


Also really like warren Nolan's site for tracking RPI. We all know the metric is dumb, but the committee use it and this is updated in real time almost instantly, gives projections, impact games that you can see what if stuff for rankings depending on future outcomes etc. Lots of cool features

http://warrennolan.com/basketball/20...ule/Cincinnati
Thanks Ervin!! Good stuff
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Old 01-17-2018, 09:31 PM   #6
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AP #4, 6, 7 and 8 have lost this week already. Can we pass 7 and 8? WSU lost to SMU at home, Texas beat Texas tech.

Top 10 if we do
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Old 01-18-2018, 07:55 AM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ervins84 View Post
If you aren't familiar with it, two sites to use

www.bracketmatrix.com

Compiles over 70 different people who do this. Shows average, high and low ranges, and links to each guys bracket. I think the wisdom of the crowds is pretty much +/- 1 seed line come selection Sunday for the vast majority of teams.


Also really like warren Nolan's site for tracking RPI. We all know the metric is dumb, but the committee use it and this is updated in real time almost instantly, gives projections, impact games that you can see what if stuff for rankings depending on future outcomes etc. Lots of cool features

http://warrennolan.com/basketball/20...ule/Cincinnati
I like that last site a lot. I looked around on there a little bit and looked at that last tab which is "predicted results". It gives a prediction on wins and losses against each team as well as what our final RPI would look like and the amount of column 1, 2, 3, and 4 wins if all went according to plan (which I know it won't).

It shows a regular season ending of us winning every game until WSU away. Final RPI of 13. 5-3 against column 1 and 7-0 against column 2.

Of course none of the teams will go according to stat based predictions...but it's a good way to figure out who to root for as we go. You can look at other teams predicted results as well. Look at their predicted final RPI etc.


As of now WSU would be our best chance obviously. Buffalo is next not only current but predicted RPI at the end in the high 20's. Then SMU and Houston are predicted in the high 30's. I don't think there are any in the predicted results between 40 and 90...then we have a bunch between 90-150. Of course this can't factor in a team getting hot or cold (injuries etc)...but it's a good start to know who to root for.

Last edited by waterhead; 01-18-2018 at 08:04 AM.
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Old 01-18-2018, 08:04 AM   #8
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Interesting stuff. So thankful for all the guys who do the research and post this info. Thanks to all
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Old 01-18-2018, 08:13 AM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by waterhead View Post
I like that last site a lot. I looked around on there a little bit and looked at that last tab which is "predicted results". It gives a prediction on wins and losses against each team as well as what our final RPI would look like and the amount of column 1, 2, 3, and 4 wins if all went according to plan (which I know it won't).

It shows a regular season ending of us winning every game until WSU away. Final RPI of 13. 5-3 against column 1 and 7-0 against column 2.

Of course none of the teams will go according to stat based predictions...but it's a good way to figure out who to root for as we go. You can look at other teams predicted results as well. Look at their predicted final RPI etc.


As of now WSU would be our best chance obviously. Buffalo is next not only current but predicted RPI at the end in the high 20's. Then SMU and Houston are predicted in the high 30's. I don't think there are any in the predicted results between 40 and 90...then we have a bunch between 90-150. Of course this can't factor in a team getting hot or cold (injuries etc)...but it's a good start to know who to root for.
Let me clarify something. I threw Buffalo in there because they are the highest team we beat. The rest I am looking at future chances. We still need to root for teams like Miss St and UCLA etc.
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Old 01-18-2018, 09:09 AM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by waterhead View Post
AP #4, 6, 7 and 8 have lost this week already. Can we pass 7 and 8? WSU lost to SMU at home, Texas beat Texas tech.

Top 10 if we do
Wrong thread!!!
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