2022-23 Open Thread

sirthought · 07-15-2022, 09:58 PM

Thanks for those nuggets

**sedziobs** · 11-13-2022, 05:16 PM

Some up and down performances in our conference so far. Temple lost to Wagner at home but then beat Villanova. UCF lost to UNC Asheville and then beat Florida St. USF lost to SE Missouri St and then had a 9 pt halftime lead at Auburn before losing.

Wichita St lost to Alcorn St. Houston and Memphis look to be good as usual.

**waterhead** · 11-13-2022, 08:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sedziobs

Some up and down performances in our conference so far. Temple lost to Wagner at home but then beat Villanova. UCF lost to UNC Asheville and then beat Florida St. USF lost to SE Missouri St and then had a 9 pt halftime lead at Auburn before losing.

Wichita St lost to Alcorn St. Houston and Memphis look to be good as usual.

Just win the games and keep improving. We could also be UL right now.

**sedziobs** · 11-14-2022, 06:33 PM

Conference performance matters when it comes to quality wins, regardless of how good our team actually is.

**sedziobs** · 12-23-2022, 08:07 PM

solvingbasketball.libsyn.com

Good podcast with Ken Pomeroy. A little discussion near the beginning about Wes taking the timeout technical foul at the end of the X game.

Near the end Ken talks about why plus minus isn't a useful stat. Basically there are too many variables involved, or if you eliminate variables by only using 5 man lineups, there isn't a big enough sample size to compare with other lineups.

Another interesting discussion was how preseason ratings still have predictive value even at the end of the season. Compared to baseball, college basketball has a relatively short 30 game season. The sample is small enough that noise in the season data is significant and many teams will not have reverted to their long term average performance after 30 games. Nate Silver has been using preseason rankings in his NCAA tournament projections because it works better than leaving them out.

**sedziobs** · Yesterday, 02:54 PM

Juco guard DaVeon Thomas committed today. 6'0" PG from Kilgore College in Texas. Averaging 20 points, 6 rebounds, 3 assists. 36% from three on 4 attempts per game. Gets to the line 5 times a game and converts 86%.

So now we have our replacements for DDJ and Phinisee with DaVeon and Jizzle coming in. Rayvon will take Ezikpe's scholarship.

11-13-2022, 05:16 PM	#22
sedziobs Senior Moderator Join Date: Jan 2018 Posts: 2,079	2022-23 Open Thread Some up and down performances in our conference so far. Temple lost to Wagner at home but then beat Villanova. UCF lost to UNC Asheville and then beat Florida St. USF lost to SE Missouri St and then had a 9 pt halftime lead at Auburn before losing. Wichita St lost to Alcorn St. Houston and Memphis look to be good as usual.

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07-15-2022, 09:58 PM	#21
sirthought Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2010 Location: Down by river Posts: 240	Thanks for those nuggets

11-14-2022, 06:33 PM	#24
sedziobs Senior Moderator Join Date: Jan 2018 Posts: 2,079	Conference performance matters when it comes to quality wins, regardless of how good our team actually is.

12-23-2022, 08:07 PM	#25
sedziobs Senior Moderator Join Date: Jan 2018 Posts: 2,079	solvingbasketball.libsyn.com Good podcast with Ken Pomeroy. A little discussion near the beginning about Wes taking the timeout technical foul at the end of the X game. Near the end Ken talks about why plus minus isn't a useful stat. Basically there are too many variables involved, or if you eliminate variables by only using 5 man lineups, there isn't a big enough sample size to compare with other lineups. Another interesting discussion was how preseason ratings still have predictive value even at the end of the season. Compared to baseball, college basketball has a relatively short 30 game season. The sample is small enough that noise in the season data is significant and many teams will not have reverted to their long term average performance after 30 games. Nate Silver has been using preseason rankings in his NCAA tournament projections because it works better than leaving them out.

Yesterday, 02:54 PM	#26
sedziobs Senior Moderator Join Date: Jan 2018 Posts: 2,079	Juco guard DaVeon Thomas committed today. 6'0" PG from Kilgore College in Texas. Averaging 20 points, 6 rebounds, 3 assists. 36% from three on 4 attempts per game. Gets to the line 5 times a game and converts 86%. So now we have our replacements for DDJ and Phinisee with DaVeon and Jizzle coming in. Rayvon will take Ezikpe's scholarship.