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View Poll Results: How far will UC make it in the AAC Tournament?
Quarterfinals 0 0%
Semifinals 0 0%
Finals 5 18.52%
Tournament Champions 22 81.48%
Voters: 27. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 02-26-2017, 08:19 PM   #1
Bearcat_NTS
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American Conference Tournament

With some of the action today, things are bit more clear.

1. SMU 15-1 (Tulsa, Memphis) -- >99% they are #1
2. Cincinnati 14-2 (Houston, @UConn) -- >99% they are #2
3. Houston 11-5 (@Cincinnati, ECU) -- 3, 4 still in play
4. UCF 10-7 (@USF) -- 3 still in play but likely 4 or 5
5. UConn 9-7 (@ECU, Cincinnati) -- 4, 5 or 6 but likely former two
6. Memphis 8-8 (Tulane, @SMU) -- 5, 6, or 7 but latter two most likely
7. Tulsa 8-8 (@SMU, @Tulane) -- 5, 6, or 7 but latter two most likely
8. Temple 6-11 (@USF) -- 8 or 9
9. ECU 5-11 (UConn, @Houston) -- 8 or 9
10. Tulane 2-14 (@Memphis, Tulsa) -- Pretty much lock to be 10
11. USF 1-15 (UCF, Temple) -- Pretty much lock to be 11

Here is the most likely scenario by KenPom probabilities:

First round – Thursday, March 9
3:30 PM #9 ECU vs. #8 Temple ESPNU (this game is a lock)
6:00 PM #10 Tulane vs. #7 Tulsa ESPNews
8:00 PM #11 South Florida vs. #6 Memphis ESPNews

Quarterfinals – Friday, March 10
Noon #8 Temple/#9 ECU vs #1 SMU ESPN2
2:00 PM #5 Connecticut vs #4 UCF ESPN2
7:00 PM #7 Tulsa/#10 Tulane vs #2 Cincinnati ESPNU
9:00 PM #6 Memphis/#11 South Florida vs #3 Houston ESPNU

Semifinals – Saturday, March 11
3:00 PM ESPN2
5:00 PM ESPN2

Championship – Sunday, March 12
3:15 PM ESPN
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Old 02-26-2017, 09:13 PM   #2
ervins84
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If that holds with SMU, UCONN, and UCF on the other side of the bracket, I think having the 2 seed is a better draw.

And even better the game would be at 7, so most of us actually get to watch it.

Last edited by ervins84; 02-26-2017 at 09:15 PM.
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Old 02-27-2017, 05:58 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ervins84 View Post
If that holds with SMU, UCONN, and UCF on the other side of the bracket, I think having the 2 seed is a better draw.

And even better the game would be at 7, so most of us actually get to watch it.
For sure. We'd trade a slightly more difficult quarter-final match-up for a much more favorable semi-final match-up- which first falls on us taking care of business against Houston at home.
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Old 02-27-2017, 06:21 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ervins84 View Post
If that holds with SMU, UCONN, and UCF on the other side of the bracket, I think having the 2 seed is a better draw.

And even better the game would be at 7, so most of us actually get to watch it.
I'll take that
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Old 02-27-2017, 06:31 AM   #5
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We need to play SMU also. Only chance at a decent win left
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Old 02-27-2017, 06:54 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cincyguy13 View Post
We need to play SMU also. Only chance at a decent win left
Houston's #54 in the RPI, #38 on KenPom. For how this conference has turned out, that's a pretty solid W if we take care of business Thursday.
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Old 02-27-2017, 07:17 AM   #7
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Houston's #54 in the RPI, #38 on KenPom. For how this conference has turned out, that's a pretty solid W if we take care of business Thursday.
We should win that at home on senior night. Just saying that Houston game isn't going to change a seed. I think we are Prob a 5 seed. Only way we have a chance at a 4 (slim chance) is winning out and beating SMU. Beating anyone else would not help
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Old 02-27-2017, 07:33 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cincyguy13 View Post
We should win that at home on senior night. Just saying that Houston game isn't going to change a seed. I think we are Prob a 5 seed. Only way we have a chance at a 4 (slim chance) is winning out and beating SMU. Beating anyone else would not help
If Houston continues to climb up the RPI into the top 50, that's 2 more wins versus RPI top 50, which is definitely something the committee will look at. If we draw Tulsa, Houston, and SMU in the conference tourney, and win obviously, that's huge. Off the top of my head, that'd be 6 wins versus RPI top 50 (assuming Houston moves up).
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Old 02-27-2017, 07:49 AM   #9
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I would love to win this thing. Not looking like we are going to win the league now. I like mick, but if he doesn't start winning something, it gets hard to defend that. I know he won the league with SK but that's it. Time to start winning something
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Old 02-27-2017, 08:42 AM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ervins84 View Post
If that holds with SMU, UCONN, and UCF on the other side of the bracket, I think having the 2 seed is a better draw.

And even better the game would be at 7, so most of us actually get to watch it.
This would easily be the ideal situation right now. One thing is for sure...we don't want to run into a good defense on the road/neutral. We are bad enough on the road as it is against mediocre opponents.

I hate to say it but we will need the benefit of a good draw in both tourneys to make any splash this year. Or we will need to make some serious adjustments and ride the players who are the most effective on the court on any given night.

We are still going to need a lot of minutes from any starter who isn't playing well...but we don't have to play them 40 minutes when they are struggling.
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