Houston: Round 2: The Battle for Everything

**sedziobs** · 03-03-2020, 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cincyguy13

Curious if you believe this for all sports? Mostly luck and random? When does luck and randomness turn in to you doing something wrong. 50 years? 75? This is why I was at least willing to try something different? Before you know it, it’s been 50 years and you haven’t seen a final four. You eventually turn in to Xavier.

Yes, I assume performance in a specific set of circumstances is no different than the the full set unless there is a verifiable reason. The main reason would be resting players more during the season, as is common in the NBA and MLB. I don't think there is anything comparable in college basketball. Teams are generally putting their best effort to win every game. Having good players that make up an efficient team is really all that matters. What happens in a specific set of plays or games is down to randomness.

I also don't believe in "clutch". Pablo Sandoval and David Freese happened to have a small sample of good results in the World Series. To me, that meant nothing for the playoffs next season. What matters when making decisions is predictability. "Clutch" is not predictable.

So for college basketball coaching, I believe you make a change if you think it will result in a more efficient team in the long run. Focusing on smaller subsets like March games will lead to a poor decision.

Jon Rycek · 03-03-2020, 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cincyguy13

I’ve seen we were a top 15 roster a number of times on here and was just curious if any writer actually had us as a top 15 roster? Because if so, I never saw that. It seemed to be just people on here saying it. Also seems to get lower each time it’s said. I thought it started as a top 25 team, eventually moved to top 15

247 had us at 18