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Old 01-26-2020, 05:31 PM   #31
Queens_NYC
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Tulane's blowout loss @ ECU yesterday dropped them 26 spots in NET to 152. Our loss to them has now become our third Q3 loss of the year.
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Old 01-29-2020, 08:20 AM   #32
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looking at TRank right now and as of this moment we are the last of the first 4 teams out, if we win at home on Saturday we move up to the first of the first 4 teams out, If we win next Thursday we move up to the second first 4 in as a 10 seed. Obviously this is also contingent on what other teams do that are on the bubble, but our margin for error is very slim due to the bad losses from Tulane, Colgate and bowling green. I think we probably lose @ Wichita on Thursday and lose at Houston but we have to win every other game to get in as an at large. The good thing is the bubble is weak this year (including us) but at the same time there are a lot of teams out there in similar situations as us who have better quad 1 wins and no Q3 and Q4 losses.
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Old 01-29-2020, 09:10 AM   #33
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Q1
19 @Ohio St
20 Iowa
30 Wichita St
30 @Wichita St
36 @Houston
51 @Memphis
61 @Xavier

Q2
36 Houston
51 Memphis
63 Tennessee
65 Tulsa
73 SMU
93 @Temple
97 @UConn
117 @UCF

Q3
93 Temple
96 Vermont
97 UConn
116 Colgate
117 UCF
131 UNLV
140 Drake
141 Bowling Green
147 Valpo
151 @USF
152 @Tulane
222 @ECU

Q4
214 Illinois St
222 ECU
336 Alabama A&M
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Old 01-29-2020, 09:21 AM   #34
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take care of the home games and all road games quad 2 or worse and i like our chances.

1-6 vs quad 1 wouldn't be ideal, but 8-0 vs quad 2 is strong.


i think if we're in the mix on the bubble we'll be looked upon as favorably because we'll likely have the toughest or at least one of the toughest SOS and non-conference SOS which could help separate us if things are pretty even.
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Old 01-29-2020, 10:23 AM   #35
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cincrulz11 View Post
take care of the home games and all road games quad 2 or worse and i like our chances.

1-6 vs quad 1 wouldn't be ideal, but 8-0 vs quad 2 is strong.
Wichita St at home might not end up as a Q1 game though. They're right on the edge. I can't see us getting any consideration if we have zero Q1 wins. At this point we might need to win at Houston or Wichita.
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Old 01-29-2020, 11:10 AM   #36
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sedziobs View Post
Wichita St at home might not end up as a Q1 game though. They're right on the edge. I can't see us getting any consideration if we have zero Q1 wins. At this point we might need to win at Houston or Wichita.

when you look at the current bubble teams they all have between 1-3 quad 1 wins, but when mixed in when quad 2 not many have a combined winning record vs quad 1 and 2.


It would be pretty unlucky to play a 24 overall SOS and not have a single quad 1 home game. I would imagine most teams get their quad 1 wins at home.
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Old 01-29-2020, 12:44 PM   #37
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I would expect several bubble teams to pick up additional Q1 wins over the next month. The comparison is assuming we don't have any. Pretty soon we can start comparing actual resumes.

Our three bad losses will be also be tough to overcome. The first four out on bracketmatrix have three bad losses combined.
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Old 01-29-2020, 12:56 PM   #38
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Originally Posted by sedziobs View Post
I would expect several bubble teams to pick up additional Q1 wins over the next month. The comparison is assuming we don't have any. Pretty soon we can start comparing actual resumes.

Our three bad losses will be also be tough to overcome. The first four out on bracketmatrix have three bad losses combined.
Hopefully they take into consideration star players being hurt at the beginning of the season like they do them getting hurt at the end of the season.
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Old 01-29-2020, 01:00 PM   #39
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Hopefully they take into consideration star players being hurt at the beginning of the season like they do them getting hurt at the end of the season.

if they do, its probably only for games they don't play in. could be difficult to guesstimate how injured somebody was and how much that changed a game.
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Old 01-29-2020, 06:00 PM   #40
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if they do, its probably only for games they don't play in. could be difficult to guesstimate how injured somebody was and how much that changed a game.
I know it. But a brotha can hope
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