UNLV

skyblade · 11-26-2019, 08:52 AM

Next team up is UNLV. They are 2-5, but their record is a little deceiving.
They've kept almost every loss close (only blowout loss was @UCLA), including two in OT and have played fairly high quality teams. They are better than Illinois St. and Valpo.

Their biggest advantage seems to be offensive rebounding. We are an okay, but not great defensive rebounding team, they are an excellent offensive rebounding team. Our whole team needs to get better at boxing out and rebounding and if we can't do that against UCLA it may spell trouble.

Our biggest advantage is 2 PT FG%, we are top 50 2 PT FG%, they are below 200 in 2 PT FG%.

They actually commit and force slightly more turnovers than us. Based on the numbers I would expect this to be a turnover fest. Probably advantage to us, as UNLV plays at a very slow pace and doesn't go very deep into the bench. Or advantage to whichever team can hold onto the ball.

They have two 6'11" guys, though the starter of the two is only 220 pounds. He also is their best rebounder and excellent on the offensive boards (17.6% ORB - for comparison UC's best are Davenport/Scott at 12.7/12.6%). Going to be a challenge for Vogt to keep him off the boards, and if my theory holds true, big enough to keep Vogt from being a big factor on O.

Hopefully Jarron is healthy and plays well. If Jarron is still injured this will be another tight game and potential loss.

They also begin a very tough stretch for us. UNLV is the lowest rated kenpom team (176) and only sub 150 kenpom team we will face in the next month plus (until we face Tulane on 1/4/2020). We need to come together as a team quickly or we could face a string of 3+ consecutive losses.

11-26-2019, 08:52 AM	#1
skyblade Epic Member Join Date: Nov 2018 Posts: 1,790	UNLV Next team up is UNLV. They are 2-5, but their record is a little deceiving. They've kept almost every loss close (only blowout loss was @UCLA), including two in OT and have played fairly high quality teams. They are better than Illinois St. and Valpo. Their biggest advantage seems to be offensive rebounding. We are an okay, but not great defensive rebounding team, they are an excellent offensive rebounding team. Our whole team needs to get better at boxing out and rebounding and if we can't do that against UCLA it may spell trouble. Our biggest advantage is 2 PT FG%, we are top 50 2 PT FG%, they are below 200 in 2 PT FG%. They actually commit and force slightly more turnovers than us. Based on the numbers I would expect this to be a turnover fest. Probably advantage to us, as UNLV plays at a very slow pace and doesn't go very deep into the bench. Or advantage to whichever team can hold onto the ball. They have two 6'11" guys, though the starter of the two is only 220 pounds. He also is their best rebounder and excellent on the offensive boards (17.6% ORB - for comparison UC's best are Davenport/Scott at 12.7/12.6%). Going to be a challenge for Vogt to keep him off the boards, and if my theory holds true, big enough to keep Vogt from being a big factor on O. Hopefully Jarron is healthy and plays well. If Jarron is still injured this will be another tight game and potential loss. They also begin a very tough stretch for us. UNLV is the lowest rated kenpom team (176) and only sub 150 kenpom team we will face in the next month plus (until we face Tulane on 1/4/2020). We need to come together as a team quickly or we could face a string of 3+ consecutive losses. Last edited by skyblade; 11-26-2019 at 09:00 AM.