6 OOC left

mdchick · 11-26-2019, 03:01 PM

KENPOM:
UNLV: 176
Vermont: 79
@xavier: 26
Colgate: 131
Tennessee: 21
Iowa: 54

That’s tough

justinhub2003 · 11-26-2019, 03:15 PM

I say 4-2

But I’d love to see 5-1

mdchick · 11-26-2019, 04:18 PM

Anything less than 3-3 no joke our chances of getting an at large bid is over

skyblade · 11-26-2019, 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justinhub2003

I say 4-2

But I’d love to see 5-1

4-2 seems like optimism. I'm hoping for 4-2, but that requires us to play significantly better than we have up to this point in the season. I say 3-3, possibly worse if Cumberland isn't healthy.

cincyalum2014 · 11-27-2019, 08:32 AM

I would say 3-3... I think we beat UNLV with a healthy Jarron by 10+... Without Jarron I think we still win but it will be in the single digit range.

Id say we beat a tough Vermont team at home but it will be extremely close.

Lose to X, Tennessee, and Iowa.... Maybe surprise and win one of those...

I think we beat Colgate comfortably.

Queens_NYC · 11-27-2019, 08:42 AM

UNLV and Colgate are resume-killers if we lose and definite must-wins.

Vermont and Iowa while a tier above UNLV and Colgate, are still very winnable games, especially considering Iowa doesn't have any good wins yet and Vermont will be playing us on 1 day's rest.

If we beat Tenn or X at this point, I'd be very surprised, and it means we are well on our way towards competing in the AAC. Hopefully we can build off of a solid home court advantage against UT and we catch Xavier on an off day at Cintas (like when they barely beat #147 Missouri State recently).

4-2 should be the expectation with anything less being quite disappointing.

justinhub2003 · 11-27-2019, 09:01 AM

I think if beat Vermont it’s solely on how much we slow down lamb.

Brannen broke out the 1-3-1, which you can tell was something hasn’t worked on much, but I’ll be interested to see what kind of different looks this Teams throws out on defense.

Cronin’s defense had its flaws but it also helped hide its poor defenders a lot of the times. Brannen’s defense is geared toward a more traditional man to man, and because I don’t think we have a great perimeter wing defender, it’s exposed us against teams with good wings. We allowed a player to score between 19 and 32 points in the paradise jam games.

I think rolling out a well executed 1-3-1 could be a great change of pace and will be interested to see if it’s used more to confuse the defense.

mdchick · 12-07-2019, 06:29 PM

2-1 so far, xavier would have been a nice one, Colgate is good but it’s at home and is obviously a must win then split with tenn and Iowa go 4-2 and the 6 game stretch would be a success

TheLivingLegend · 12-07-2019, 06:33 PM

Uc needs to beat Tenn and Iowa. Start of the season has been a fail.

justinhub2003 · 12-07-2019, 07:15 PM

We don’t win the next 3, then it doesn’t matter what happens in conference. We will be playing for an NIT birth.

I wonder if practicing too hard and too fast on too quick of a time scale is causing us to be injury prone, and less energetic at the ends of games.

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11-26-2019, 03:01 PM	#1
mdchick Epic Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 2,638	6 OOC left KENPOM: UNLV: 176 Vermont: 79 @xavier: 26 Colgate: 131 Tennessee: 21 Iowa: 54 That’s tough

11-26-2019, 03:15 PM	#2
justinhub2003 Epic Member Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 5,583	I say 4-2 But I’d love to see 5-1

11-26-2019, 04:18 PM	#3
mdchick Epic Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 2,638	Anything less than 3-3 no joke our chances of getting an at large bid is over

11-27-2019, 08:32 AM	#5
cincyalum2014 Elite Member Join Date: Feb 2019 Posts: 734	I would say 3-3... I think we beat UNLV with a healthy Jarron by 10+... Without Jarron I think we still win but it will be in the single digit range. Id say we beat a tough Vermont team at home but it will be extremely close. Lose to X, Tennessee, and Iowa.... Maybe surprise and win one of those... I think we beat Colgate comfortably.

11-27-2019, 08:42 AM	#6
Queens_NYC Epic Member Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 1,655	UNLV and Colgate are resume-killers if we lose and definite must-wins. Vermont and Iowa while a tier above UNLV and Colgate, are still very winnable games, especially considering Iowa doesn't have any good wins yet and Vermont will be playing us on 1 day's rest. If we beat Tenn or X at this point, I'd be very surprised, and it means we are well on our way towards competing in the AAC. Hopefully we can build off of a solid home court advantage against UT and we catch Xavier on an off day at Cintas (like when they barely beat #147 Missouri State recently). 4-2 should be the expectation with anything less being quite disappointing.

11-27-2019, 09:01 AM	#7
justinhub2003 Epic Member Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 5,583	I think if beat Vermont it’s solely on how much we slow down lamb. Brannen broke out the 1-3-1, which you can tell was something hasn’t worked on much, but I’ll be interested to see what kind of different looks this Teams throws out on defense. Cronin’s defense had its flaws but it also helped hide its poor defenders a lot of the times. Brannen’s defense is geared toward a more traditional man to man, and because I don’t think we have a great perimeter wing defender, it’s exposed us against teams with good wings. We allowed a player to score between 19 and 32 points in the paradise jam games. I think rolling out a well executed 1-3-1 could be a great change of pace and will be interested to see if it’s used more to confuse the defense.

12-07-2019, 06:29 PM	#8
mdchick Epic Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 2,638	2-1 so far, xavier would have been a nice one, Colgate is good but it’s at home and is obviously a must win then split with tenn and Iowa go 4-2 and the 6 game stretch would be a success

12-07-2019, 06:33 PM	#9
TheLivingLegend Epic Member Join Date: Feb 2010 Location: Nati Posts: 3,837	Uc needs to beat Tenn and Iowa. Start of the season has been a fail.

12-07-2019, 07:15 PM	#10
justinhub2003 Epic Member Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 5,583	We don’t win the next 3, then it doesn’t matter what happens in conference. We will be playing for an NIT birth. I wonder if practicing too hard and too fast on too quick of a time scale is causing us to be injury prone, and less energetic at the ends of games.