02-19-2020, 07:54 AM | #251 |
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Is this really that funny ?
We have some elite nationally respected bracketologist apart of this site, I’m sure they would agree that 7 tier 1 wins is better than 3 I didn’t say it would happen. I said if it did. If we win out, I still don’t feel great because it only takes a few bid thief’s and the bubble shrinks again. |
02-19-2020, 07:56 AM | #252 | |
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Quote:
if we win out we won't even be close to the bubble. |
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02-19-2020, 08:00 AM | #253 |
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02-19-2020, 08:00 AM | #254 | |
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Quote:
Last edited by Chance2017; 02-19-2020 at 08:08 AM. |
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02-19-2020, 08:01 AM | #255 |
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02-19-2020, 08:14 AM | #256 | |
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If Houston drops from top 30 , we lose a tier 1 win. Walking in to selection Sunday with two tier 1 wins and 3 tier 3 losses, I don’t think you feel great. |
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02-19-2020, 08:27 AM | #257 | |
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under that scenario what are we 10-0 against tier 2? im gonna feel pretty comfortable about 12-5 against tier 1 and 2. look at the bubble teams vs top 2 quads right now. |
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02-19-2020, 09:12 AM | #258 | |
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From a non-Mick Cronin perspective, UCLA does seem more likely to win out than a random power-5 team of the same approximate kenpom ranking. Having a new coach takes time to adjust to (same is true of UC) and UCLA's defense in their last 9 games is much better than their defensive rating on the season. Assuming their defense continues to be as good as it has been recently (or improves even more), they are a quite a bit better team now than their kenpom and record indicates. |
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02-19-2020, 09:33 AM | #259 |
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UCLA finishes the season with a much stronger schedule than most power-5 teams who are a little below the bubble. That's what you want if you're in their position. Even if they go 4-1 they will probably be in the bubble conversation. I think the most similar situation would be St Johns, who finishes with five consecutive top 25 games (all Q1). Providence or TCU would also have a case if they win out.
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02-19-2020, 03:27 PM | #260 |
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I guess I just don't feel as confident as some of you do.
We are the only team in the field as an at large bid that has 3 tier 3 losses. Literally no other team in the field currently has 3 tier 3 losses. and when you look at first four out and next four out, I found just 1 team has 3 tier 3 losses and that's NC State NC State has a winning record against tier 1 teams (4-3) and a 500 record against Tier 2 teams at 3-3 And they aren't even in the field I mean, its strange to be so confident when we are the 100% clear outlier of all the teams currently in the field. Im hoping the SOS pays dividends |
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