12-18-2018, 10:32 AM | #11 | |
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I'm just interpreting the stats. I think they will pose more of a matchup problem than a lot of people expect. Just because what we do well is score from the paint, rebound & defend. What they do well is defend the paint, & rebound. That said, offensively, they have some shooters but none are elite and if they want to beat us, its going to be from the 3 point line and I think we will gladly let them try that approach. But it is a bit concerning that the teams who have beat them, have all done it with volume 3 point makes. ALLL that said... were at home. that changes the dynamic by a large margin. The facts may not matter if were able to make them uncomfortable from tip to finish |
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12-18-2018, 11:30 AM | #12 | |
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12-18-2018, 11:42 AM | #13 | |
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12-18-2018, 11:44 AM | #14 |
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If we win, this will be the first win against a guaranteed tournament team, correct? Obviously NKU (or others) can win their conference, but I'm meaning again an at large bid. Assuming UCLA is truly a team to make the tournament. Xavier is up in the air.
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12-18-2018, 11:45 AM | #15 | |
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Similar to how UNLV posed some of the same match up problems. They had defended the 2 point shot well up until then (have been terrible since) and they get a ton of offensive boards. UCLA is a much better opponent though. At least we are at home for this one. I still like us in games like this. they don't shoot a lot of 3's, and as the announcer last game said, mick knows teams aren't going to beat us only shooting 2 point shots. the math doesn't work out for them. but if we are particularly bad on offense and they hit some 3's they don't normally hit, it could be tight until the end. i would still like to see us cut back on the amount of long 2 point jumpers we take. its such a low percentage shot. shooting those at 37% is the same as shooting 25% from 3. scott and keith need to stop shooting them and cumberland shouldn't settle for them. Our Pg's also take a decent amount of them off the dribble, and thats just an awful shot. You can shoot that shot any time but we tend to shoot it early in the clock for no apparent reason. |
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12-18-2018, 11:46 AM | #16 |
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ucla is far from a lock to make the tournament. probably wouldn't be in if it started today.
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12-18-2018, 11:59 AM | #17 | |
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UCLA needs to beat us and OSU to really have done much damage in the non conference. They have a win over Notre Dame which they cancelled out by losing to Belmont. |
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12-18-2018, 01:48 PM | #18 |
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So basically our resume (so far) is pretty poor even if we beat UCLA, correct?
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12-18-2018, 02:19 PM | #19 | |
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Last season's best OOC wins... Buffalo (neutral - 2nd Round NCAA team) UCLA (away - Lost in NCAA Play-in game) Miss State (home - 22 wins, no postseason) This season we're looking at... Ole Miss (neutral - outside looking in at NCAA at-large but still possible) Xavier (home - same as Ole Miss) UCLA (home - best shot at NCAA at-large) According to KenPom our OOC SOS last season was 294th nationally. This year we're at 179th, so that should hopefully work in our favor with all the tournament metrics come March. |
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12-18-2018, 02:20 PM | #20 |
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The NET ranking has us at 29 so not terrible by any means so far. UCLA would be a decent quality win for us. I think it's one of those games we need to win if we want to shoot for something like a 6 seed or so
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