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Old 02-12-2020, 06:32 AM   #61
cincrulz11
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our NET appears to be the lowest of all the things out there. kenpom, barttorvik, rpi.

NET - 46
Kenpom - 37
Barttorvik - 33
RPI - 29


does that have to do with them capping wins at 10 points?
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Old 02-12-2020, 07:35 AM   #62
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Houston has the best path a really good tourney resume with 3 road games against smu, Memphis & UConn

But they also have a tough road to win the league.

UC has a pretty favorable path to win the league. Would be nuts if we win the league and didn’t get in still
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Old 02-12-2020, 07:59 AM   #63
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Quote:
Originally Posted by justinhub2003 View Post
Houston has the best path a really good tourney resume with 3 road games against smu, Memphis & UConn

But they also have a tough road to win the league.

UC has a pretty favorable path to win the league. Would be nuts if we win the league and didn’t get in still
Both teams would have to play pretty bad for that to happen
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Old 02-12-2020, 08:15 AM   #64
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cincrulz11 View Post
our NET appears to be the lowest of all the things out there. kenpom, barttorvik, rpi.

NET - 46
Kenpom - 37
Barttorvik - 33
RPI - 29


does that have to do with them capping wins at 10 points?
I think it's because Kenpom and Torvik put more weight on recent games. NET rankings have the same weight all season.

I don't think Kenpom lists exactly what his weights are, but in his 2016 update he says: "The weighting coefficients to handle recency and game importance have been changed."

Torvik: "There's a recency bias—all games in the last 40 days count 100%, then degrade 1% per day until they're 80 days old, after which all games count 60%"
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Old 02-14-2020, 07:59 AM   #65
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Q1
22 @Ohio St
26 @Houston
26 Houston
30 Iowa
44 @Xavier
47 @Wichita St
59 @Memphis
74 @ UConn

Q2
47 Wichita St
59 Memphis
65 Tennessee
72 SMU
74 UConn
106 @Temple
118 @USF
124 @UCF

Q3
80 Vermont
84 Tulsa
106 Temple
113 Colgate
124 UCF
137 UNLV
152 Drake
154 Valpo
160 Bowling Green
186 @Tulane
211 @ECU

Q4
202 Illinois St
211 ECU
340 Alabama A&M

Last edited by sedziobs; 02-14-2020 at 08:34 AM.
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Old 02-17-2020, 06:29 AM   #66
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We dropped 3 spots to 51.

Vermont (79) and Tulsa (82) both continue to make positive progress towards Q2. If Vermont wins @Stony Brook (159) on Thursday, that could give them the bump up the rankings needed to stay Q2 for the remainder of the season.

After a tough road game @Houston, Tulsa has 3 winnable home games in a row (SMU, Tulane, UCF). If they can also win one of their final 2 road games (@Temple and @Wichita), then I like their chances of jumping up to Q2.
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Old 02-17-2020, 09:47 AM   #67
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8-5 against Q1/2, with 3 games left (for sure), and thats before potential Vermont/Tulsa movement to Q2.

The more I think of it, a 4-1 finish feels like we wouldn't even be on the bubble. 10-6 against Q1/2 with our SOS, 14-4 in the 7th best conference, I can't see that not being in the main field.
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Old 02-17-2020, 09:48 AM   #68
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Q1
18 @Ohio St
27 @Houston
27 Houston
28 Iowa
39 @Xavier
46 @Wichita St
60 @Memphis
71 @ UConn

Q2
46 Wichita St
60 Memphis
62 Tennessee
67 SMU
71 UConn
106 @Temple
118 @USF
125 @UCF

Q3
79 Vermont
82 Tulsa
106 Temple
118 Colgate
125 UCF
129 UNLV
139 Valpo
149 Bowling Green
154 Drake
187 @Tulane
208 @ECU

Q4
203 Illinois St
208 ECU
340 Alabama A&M
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Old 02-20-2020, 07:51 AM   #69
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Q1
17 @Ohio St
26 @Houston
26 Houston
27 Iowa
40 @Xavier
42 @Wichita St
63 @Memphis
68 @ UConn

Q2
42 Wichita St
63 Memphis
64 Tennessee
68 UConn
73 SMU
104 @Temple
115 @UCF
120 @USF

Q3
76 Vermont
89 Tulsa
104 Temple
115 UCF
124 UNLV
125 Colgate
138 Valpo
152 Bowling Green
158 Drake
178 @Tulane
197 @ECU

Q4
197 ECU
209 Illinois St
340 Alabama A&M
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Old 02-23-2020, 02:25 PM   #70
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We started the weekend with 7 Q2 wins. Then we won a Q2 game on Sunday and will end the weekend with only 6 Q2 wins. You can thank Vermont and SMU for that.

I'll give a full update tomorrow.
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