02-12-2020, 06:32 AM | #61 |
Epic Member
Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 4,329
|
our NET appears to be the lowest of all the things out there. kenpom, barttorvik, rpi.
NET - 46 Kenpom - 37 Barttorvik - 33 RPI - 29 does that have to do with them capping wins at 10 points? |
02-12-2020, 07:35 AM | #62 |
Epic Member
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 5,583
|
Houston has the best path a really good tourney resume with 3 road games against smu, Memphis & UConn
But they also have a tough road to win the league. UC has a pretty favorable path to win the league. Would be nuts if we win the league and didn’t get in still |
02-12-2020, 07:59 AM | #63 | |
Member
Join Date: Feb 2020
Posts: 54
|
Quote:
|
|
02-12-2020, 08:15 AM | #64 | |
Senior Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
|
Quote:
I don't think Kenpom lists exactly what his weights are, but in his 2016 update he says: "The weighting coefficients to handle recency and game importance have been changed." Torvik: "There's a recency bias—all games in the last 40 days count 100%, then degrade 1% per day until they're 80 days old, after which all games count 60%" |
|
02-14-2020, 07:59 AM | #65 |
Senior Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
|
Q1
22 @Ohio St 26 @Houston 26 Houston 30 Iowa 44 @Xavier 47 @Wichita St 59 @Memphis 74 @ UConn Q2 47 Wichita St 59 Memphis 65 Tennessee 72 SMU 74 UConn 106 @Temple 118 @USF 124 @UCF Q3 80 Vermont 84 Tulsa 106 Temple 113 Colgate 124 UCF 137 UNLV 152 Drake 154 Valpo 160 Bowling Green 186 @Tulane 211 @ECU Q4 202 Illinois St 211 ECU 340 Alabama A&M Last edited by sedziobs; 02-14-2020 at 08:34 AM. |
02-17-2020, 06:29 AM | #66 |
Epic Member
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 1,655
|
We dropped 3 spots to 51.
Vermont (79) and Tulsa (82) both continue to make positive progress towards Q2. If Vermont wins @Stony Brook (159) on Thursday, that could give them the bump up the rankings needed to stay Q2 for the remainder of the season. After a tough road game @Houston, Tulsa has 3 winnable home games in a row (SMU, Tulane, UCF). If they can also win one of their final 2 road games (@Temple and @Wichita), then I like their chances of jumping up to Q2. |
02-17-2020, 09:47 AM | #67 |
Elite Member
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 520
|
8-5 against Q1/2, with 3 games left (for sure), and thats before potential Vermont/Tulsa movement to Q2.
The more I think of it, a 4-1 finish feels like we wouldn't even be on the bubble. 10-6 against Q1/2 with our SOS, 14-4 in the 7th best conference, I can't see that not being in the main field. |
02-17-2020, 09:48 AM | #68 |
Senior Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
|
Q1
18 @Ohio St 27 @Houston 27 Houston 28 Iowa 39 @Xavier 46 @Wichita St 60 @Memphis 71 @ UConn Q2 46 Wichita St 60 Memphis 62 Tennessee 67 SMU 71 UConn 106 @Temple 118 @USF 125 @UCF Q3 79 Vermont 82 Tulsa 106 Temple 118 Colgate 125 UCF 129 UNLV 139 Valpo 149 Bowling Green 154 Drake 187 @Tulane 208 @ECU Q4 203 Illinois St 208 ECU 340 Alabama A&M |
02-20-2020, 07:51 AM | #69 |
Senior Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
|
Q1
17 @Ohio St 26 @Houston 26 Houston 27 Iowa 40 @Xavier 42 @Wichita St 63 @Memphis 68 @ UConn Q2 42 Wichita St 63 Memphis 64 Tennessee 68 UConn 73 SMU 104 @Temple 115 @UCF 120 @USF Q3 76 Vermont 89 Tulsa 104 Temple 115 UCF 124 UNLV 125 Colgate 138 Valpo 152 Bowling Green 158 Drake 178 @Tulane 197 @ECU Q4 197 ECU 209 Illinois St 340 Alabama A&M |
02-23-2020, 02:25 PM | #70 |
Senior Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
|
We started the weekend with 7 Q2 wins. Then we won a Q2 game on Sunday and will end the weekend with only 6 Q2 wins. You can thank Vermont and SMU for that.
I'll give a full update tomorrow. |
Bookmarks |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|