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Old 04-27-2022, 04:53 PM   #27
skyblade
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Quote:
Originally Posted by waterhead View Post
It's crazy. The individual +/- for games was as large as 20 or 30 points between certain players. But the overall yearly average is what I was interested in.
How confident are you that EvanMiya is wrong? They list it as +/- and don't indicate they make any adjustments. Gobearcats.com doesn't have a gamebook for every game (@Wichita State doesn't have one for example) so it's pretty much impossible to check at least without being during the season.

Game by game +/- has a large variance and isn't a particularly reliable stat.
But I do think +/- is good at picking up players who do more (or less) than the stats indicate once you get to a large enough sample size. I do think it's debate-able if a season is a large enough sample size, but I do tend to trust a seasons worth of sample. Over multiple seasons there's generally enough variation (a player improves, coaching change, teammate change etc..) that any stat becomes less reliable.
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