04-29-2022, 08:06 AM | #91 |
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No promises that I made no mistakes, I'm more confident that I got the starters right as they were almost always in the same order (unless someone was out due to injury). I agree with Waterhead that EvanMiya's +/- does not match the reality, not sure what adjustment they are making. I calculated +/- excluding Ashland (D2) and conference +/- and yes the Davenport conference +/- number is correct (I did a double take when I saw it). Make of it whatever you will.
Name: +/-, +/- (conference) Ado: 20, -3 DDJ: 48, -4 Newman: 108, 14 MAW: 95, 19 Davenport: 108, 83 Ody: 27, -47 Saunders: 33, -52 Lakhin: 0, -47 Mason: 42, 6 Koval: 55, -28 Hensley: -12, -38 Last edited by skyblade; 04-29-2022 at 08:34 AM. Reason: Excluded the wrong game for D2. |
04-29-2022, 08:30 AM | #92 | |
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Do you mean Ashland? Alabama A&M is D1. Either way it looks like there is some kind of adjustment going on since just adding/swapping those games isn't enough to make up the difference. I think it's just that blowout possessions are being excluded.
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04-29-2022, 08:36 AM | #93 | |
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Good finding the adjustment. Excluding blowout possessions would seem to be the more accurate measure. |
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04-29-2022, 08:57 AM | #94 |
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Everyone is within 25 of EvanMiya, except for Ado who you have 35 pts lower. There were quite a few games where Torvik's win probability reached 99% with a lot of time left (17 mins vs SMU, 15 mins vs X, 18 mins vs Florida A&M, in the first half against Presbyterian).
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04-29-2022, 09:06 AM | #95 | |
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04-29-2022, 09:53 AM | #96 | |
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If you wanted to get real fancy with plus minus it would make sense to average the totals for games played. And even fancier would be to adjust for minutes played. Obviously DDJ, MAW, Newman and JD played the most minutes on the year. Ado played around 10 less minutes per game than these guys. That is what I was doing. But I didn't adjust for the 4 guys above that were all getting around the same amount of minutes. But if Ado got 60% of what the others were getting I made an adjustment for that. So I had them all averaged by games played and then weighted for minutes. I can't find my info that I worked on either which sucks because it took a while to do |
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04-29-2022, 10:04 AM | #97 | |
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I like the idea of using the conference numbers by Skyblade because that is after other teams figured out how to play us. The team we were in the beginning was not who we were after Illinois and ARK etc. |
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04-29-2022, 10:18 AM | #98 | |
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04-30-2022, 01:28 AM | #99 |
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DDJ can get beat 10x straight down court. If we hit 10 3s his +/- would be +10. I don't know what you'll use that stat for.
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04-30-2022, 09:55 AM | #100 |
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It's not a stat I would find useful in single games or even just a few games. But how the team is playing over the long term when certain players are on the floor is something I would want to know
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