01-26-2020, 05:31 PM | #31 |
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Tulane's blowout loss @ ECU yesterday dropped them 26 spots in NET to 152. Our loss to them has now become our third Q3 loss of the year.
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01-29-2020, 08:20 AM | #32 |
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looking at TRank right now and as of this moment we are the last of the first 4 teams out, if we win at home on Saturday we move up to the first of the first 4 teams out, If we win next Thursday we move up to the second first 4 in as a 10 seed. Obviously this is also contingent on what other teams do that are on the bubble, but our margin for error is very slim due to the bad losses from Tulane, Colgate and bowling green. I think we probably lose @ Wichita on Thursday and lose at Houston but we have to win every other game to get in as an at large. The good thing is the bubble is weak this year (including us) but at the same time there are a lot of teams out there in similar situations as us who have better quad 1 wins and no Q3 and Q4 losses.
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01-29-2020, 09:10 AM | #33 |
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Q1
19 @Ohio St 20 Iowa 30 Wichita St 30 @Wichita St 36 @Houston 51 @Memphis 61 @Xavier Q2 36 Houston 51 Memphis 63 Tennessee 65 Tulsa 73 SMU 93 @Temple 97 @UConn 117 @UCF Q3 93 Temple 96 Vermont 97 UConn 116 Colgate 117 UCF 131 UNLV 140 Drake 141 Bowling Green 147 Valpo 151 @USF 152 @Tulane 222 @ECU Q4 214 Illinois St 222 ECU 336 Alabama A&M |
01-29-2020, 09:21 AM | #34 |
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take care of the home games and all road games quad 2 or worse and i like our chances.
1-6 vs quad 1 wouldn't be ideal, but 8-0 vs quad 2 is strong. i think if we're in the mix on the bubble we'll be looked upon as favorably because we'll likely have the toughest or at least one of the toughest SOS and non-conference SOS which could help separate us if things are pretty even. |
01-29-2020, 10:23 AM | #35 |
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Wichita St at home might not end up as a Q1 game though. They're right on the edge. I can't see us getting any consideration if we have zero Q1 wins. At this point we might need to win at Houston or Wichita.
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01-29-2020, 11:10 AM | #36 | |
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Quote:
when you look at the current bubble teams they all have between 1-3 quad 1 wins, but when mixed in when quad 2 not many have a combined winning record vs quad 1 and 2. It would be pretty unlucky to play a 24 overall SOS and not have a single quad 1 home game. I would imagine most teams get their quad 1 wins at home. |
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01-29-2020, 12:44 PM | #37 |
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I would expect several bubble teams to pick up additional Q1 wins over the next month. The comparison is assuming we don't have any. Pretty soon we can start comparing actual resumes.
Our three bad losses will be also be tough to overcome. The first four out on bracketmatrix have three bad losses combined. |
01-29-2020, 12:56 PM | #38 | |
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Quote:
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01-29-2020, 01:00 PM | #39 | |
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if they do, its probably only for games they don't play in. could be difficult to guesstimate how injured somebody was and how much that changed a game. |
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01-29-2020, 06:00 PM | #40 |
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