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Old 01-25-2019, 01:53 PM   #21
kskenyon4
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1/25

CBS - 8 seed - against NC State, winner facing Tennessee
ESPN - 7 seed - against Syracuse, winner facing Kentucky

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Old 01-29-2019, 05:41 AM   #22
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ESPN- still a 7 seed, but facing Texas now with the winner facing Kentucky.
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Old 01-30-2019, 12:07 PM   #23
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I know a lot of things can happen down the stretch but my hopes are to get in the dance at a 7 seed or less. This will probably mean we need a record of 24-7 or better as the seed will come very close to matching our loss total. With that being said...


Must wins

SMU, WSU, Memphis, UCF at home

Probable loss

Houston away


That would put us at 22-4 which would mean we have to take at least 2 games from the following 5...

SMU away without Foster
Houston at home on Sr day
UCF away on their Sr day
Uconn away is never easy and they took us to overtime already
Memphis away where they haven't lost yet and beat UCF by 20

I don't care how you slice this up I will be happy with 24-7 and anything better is awesome. I don't want to think about anything worse right now. Houston and UC will have the target on their back to add to the difficulty.
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Old 01-31-2019, 02:10 PM   #24
kskenyon4
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I think I rank the games from easiest to hardest as:

SMU
WSU
@SMU
@UCONN
UCF
@MEMPHIS
@UCF
HOUSTON
@HOUSTON


In all reality, your must wins are SMU/WSU/@SMU. In the remaining 7, just gotta go 4-3, and sit at 25-6. Which I think is a 6 seed.
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Old 01-31-2019, 02:53 PM   #25
waterhead
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kskenyon4 View Post
I think I rank the games from easiest to hardest as:

SMU
WSU
@SMU
@UCONN
UCF
@MEMPHIS
@UCF
HOUSTON
@HOUSTON


In all reality, your must wins are SMU/WSU/@SMU. In the remaining 7, just gotta go 4-3, and sit at 25-6. Which I think is a 6 seed.
I would probably go in tiers something like this...

SMU home
WSU home

Memphis home
UCF home

SMU away (depends on Foster) move up or down accordingly

Houston home
UCF away
Uconn away
Memphis away

Houston away
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Old 01-31-2019, 04:27 PM   #26
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Torvik ranks our remaining games from easiest to hardest as:

Wichita St
SMU
Memphis
UCF
@SMU
Houston
@Memphis
@UConn
@UCF
@Houston

That matches Waterhead's tiers, which also correspond to actual NET quadrants. SMU/WSU are Q3. Memphis/UCF/@SMU are Q2. The rest are Q1.
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Old 02-01-2019, 07:12 AM   #27
waterhead
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sedziobs View Post
Torvik ranks our remaining games from easiest to hardest as:

Wichita St
SMU
Memphis
UCF
@SMU
Houston
@Memphis
@UConn
@UCF
@Houston

That matches Waterhead's tiers, which also correspond to actual NET quadrants. SMU/WSU are Q3. Memphis/UCF/@SMU are Q2. The rest are Q1.
We didn't lose any conference home games 2 years ago. We lost 1 last year. We haven't lost one this year yet. Our advantage is clearly at home and I don't expect more than 1 loss at home if that. That doesn't mean it can't happen but I would obviously give Houston a decent chance. The rest of the home games we would have to play like crap and the other team would have to really be on their A game to beat us.
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Old 02-05-2019, 07:46 AM   #28
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2/5 ESPN Update

7 seed in the Midwest Region playing 10 seed Arizona State in Jacksonville.

Winner would likely play 2 seed North Carolina.
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Old 02-08-2019, 08:42 AM   #29
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2/8 ESPN Update

7 seed in the South Region playing 10 seed Minnesota in Des Moines.

Winner would likely play 2 seed Kentucky.
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Old 02-11-2019, 01:01 PM   #30
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We're currently a 7 seed on bracketmatrix. Here's a comparison of our resume to teams in the 6-8 seed range. Records are (Q1,Q2,bad losses).

6 Kansas St (5-2,4-3,0)
6 Maryland (4-4,6-2,0)
6 Iowa (5-5,5-0,0)
6 Florida St (4-3,4-1,1)
7 Miss St (6-4,3-3,0)
7 Cincinnati (3-2,3-1,1)
7 Auburn (0-6,6-1,0)
7 Buffalo (1-1,3-1,1)
8 Washington (1-4,5-1,0)
8 Baylor (3-5,6-1,2)
8 Ohio St (4-5,3-2,0)
8 TCU (1-6,5-0,0)

We seem to be comfortably ahead of the 8 seeds, with the possible exception of Ohio St. It will be an uphill battle to catch the 6 seed teams, who all have at least eight quality wins. We certainly have lots of opportunities coming up.
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