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Old 02-04-2019, 08:14 AM   #41
sedziobs
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Weekly update:

7. Houston (Q1,Q1)
25. Cincinnati
26. Mississippi St (Q1)
35. Ohio St (Q2)
39. Ole Miss (Q1)
44. UCF (Q1,Q2)
54. Temple (Q1)
70. Memphis (Q1,Q2)
71. South Florida (Q2)
74. UConn (Q1,Q2)
86. UCLA
93. Xavier
99. Tulsa (Q2)
112. NKU
113. SMU (Q2)
125. Wichita St (Q2)
126. George Mason
159. UNLV
262. East Carolina (Q4)


Last edited by sedziobs; 02-04-2019 at 08:49 AM.
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Old 02-04-2019, 08:27 AM   #42
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Here is our current record against each quadrant:

Q1: 2-1

Q2: 4-1

Q3: 7-0

Q4: 6-1

Remaining regular season games

Q1: 5 games

Q2: 3 games

Q3: 1 game

Q4: N/A
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Old 02-04-2019, 04:35 PM   #43
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Thanks for posting these updates.
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Old 02-08-2019, 11:48 AM   #44
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Not sure just how much the NET will take metrics into consideration but we have won 7 games in a row and have moved down or stayed about even on the T-rank metric currently 30th. However he has us as projected with 6 losses and finishing 18th in the NET. And this is a 7 seed? I hope the win total will push us to a 6 seed.
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Old 02-08-2019, 12:49 PM   #45
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Quote:
Originally Posted by waterhead View Post
Not sure just how much the NET will take metrics into consideration but we have won 7 games in a row and have moved down or stayed about even on the T-rank metric currently 30th. However he has us as projected with 6 losses and finishing 18th in the NET. And this is a 7 seed? I hope the win total will push us to a 6 seed.
Torvik predicts Ole Miss and Memphis will drop out of Q1. He thinks we win one more Q1 game, for a total of two. It's hard to get a good seed with a resume that has only a couple of Q1 wins and a Q4 loss. It will be very important for Ole Miss, Memphis and UConn to finish in Q1.
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Old 02-08-2019, 01:05 PM   #46
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sedziobs View Post
Torvik predicts Ole Miss and Memphis will drop out of Q1. He thinks we win one more Q1 game, for a total of two. It's hard to get a good seed with a resume that has only a couple of Q1 wins and a Q4 loss. It will be very important for Ole Miss, Memphis and UConn to finish in Q1.
Jalen Adams is out for the rest of the regular season. UConn is a near lock to fall out of Q1 for good.

Ole Miss has lost 4 of their last 6 after cranking out 10 straight wins after we beat them. They play 5 of their final 9 on the road and have home games against UK and Tennessee. If they finish Q1 they will have certainly earned it.

Aside from visiting us again, and maybe @UCF, Memphis's remaining schedule is pretty tame. Key games to preserve Q1 status will be @Wichita State and home against Temple.
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Old 02-08-2019, 02:31 PM   #47
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We'll see how UConn responds. All but one of their remaining games are Q1 or Q2, so they really just need to tread water. I'm not counting on it, but they still have a chance.

Ole Miss is sort of in the same boat. 5-4 probably keeps them top 50. All of their losses are in Q1 right now.
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Old 02-11-2019, 10:53 AM   #48
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Weekly update:

7. Houston (Q1,Q1)
24. Cincinnati
29. Mississippi St (Q1)
36. Ole Miss (Q1)
38. Ohio St (Q2)
46. UCF (Q1,Q2)
55. Temple (Q1)
67. South Florida (Q2)
68. Memphis (Q1,Q2)
79. UConn (Q2)
81. Tulsa (Q2)
104. UCLA
105. NKU
107. SMU (Q2)
108. Xavier
116. Wichita St (Q2)
138. George Mason
156. UNLV
270. East Carolina (Q4)
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Old 02-14-2019, 09:44 AM   #49
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I ran the team cast on T-rank. Right now it seems we are securely locked into a 6-7 seed range. But here are some scenarios I ran.

0-1 losses from here on out...6 seed
2-3 losses from here on out...7 seed


I would be shocked if we lost 4 but that would put us as an 8 seed. If we ran the table and made the conference tourney final maybe we would have a shot at a 5 seed but I would also be shocked if we did that.

The most probable scenarios have us as a 6 or 7 seed and I am happy with that.
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Old 02-14-2019, 10:03 AM   #50
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Quote:
Originally Posted by waterhead View Post
I ran the team cast on T-rank. Right now it seems we are securely locked into a 6-7 seed range. But here are some scenarios I ran.

0-1 losses from here on out...6 seed
2-3 losses from here on out...7 seed


I would be shocked if we lost 4 but that would put us as an 8 seed. If we ran the table and made the conference tourney final maybe we would have a shot at a 5 seed but I would also be shocked if we did that.

The most probable scenarios have us as a 6 or 7 seed and I am happy with that.
I would probably put the over under at 2 losses right now with a margin of error of 1. T-rank has us losing 3 more but it probably doesn't take into account Jalen Adams being out or SMU having player issues etc.

Either way it's going to take some good basketball to get a 6 seed and average basketball to get a 7. Awesome basketball to get a 5 or horrible basketball to get an 8. If...IF..T-rank is on the money.
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