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Old 01-15-2019, 10:38 AM   #1
kskenyon4
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Bracketology

With 2 months before selection Sunday, we are officially at or beyond the half way point of the season with 17 games played, and a 14-3 record. Lets keep track of latest projections from 'experts' as well as the board's thoughts.

Jan 15
ESPN - 9 seed vs Iowa
CBS - 11 seed in first 4 against Arizona
FOX - 8 seed against Seton Hall
Bracketmatrix - 9 seed


Resume
14-3 (3-1)
NET = 35
SOS/Non Con SOS - 88/73
Tier 1 = 1-1
Tier 2 = 1-1
Tier 3 = 6-1
Tier 4 = 6-0

We have several teams on the cusp of moving 'up' a tier, which I think we will need. A 2-2 record against tiers 1 and 2 is very concerning. All 7 of our remaining road games are either tier 1 or 2. I think they will define if we're in the tournament, and our seed.

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Old 01-15-2019, 12:19 PM   #2
Mcginnjw
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Jerry Palm at CBS always ranks us lower than any other site.
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Old 01-15-2019, 12:30 PM   #3
ThomasMac
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kskenyon4 View Post
With 2 months before selection Sunday, we are officially at or beyond the half way point of the season with 17 games played, and a 14-3 record. Lets keep track of latest projections from 'experts' as well as the board's thoughts.

Jan 15
ESPN - 9 seed vs Iowa
CBS - 11 seed in first 4 against Arizona
FOX - 8 seed against Seton Hall
Bracketmatrix - 9 seed


Resume
14-3 (3-1)
NET = 35
SOS/Non Con SOS - 88/73
Tier 1 = 1-1
Tier 2 = 1-1
Tier 3 = 6-1
Tier 4 = 6-0

We have several teams on the cusp of moving 'up' a tier, which I think we will need. A 2-2 record against tiers 1 and 2 is very concerning. All 7 of our remaining road games are either tier 1 or 2. I think they will define if we're in the tournament, and our seed.
I think the Cats finish 25-6 by the end of conference play (losses @ HOU/UCONN/UCF).

If they win the conference tourney with that end result, I don't see them any worse than a 5 seed. If they don't win the conference tourney, I could see them in the 8,9 game unfortunately.
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Old 01-15-2019, 12:38 PM   #4
cincycpaw
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I hate the 8/9 seed lines. Better to be a 10 or 11 (as long as you avoid the first 4)
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Old 01-15-2019, 01:27 PM   #5
Madman81
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Originally Posted by Mcginnjw View Post
Jerry Palm at CBS always ranks us lower than any other site.
seems to be that way for almost the whole year and then he catches us up at the end.
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Old 01-15-2019, 06:36 PM   #6
ervins84
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mcginnjw View Post
Jerry Palm at CBS always ranks us lower than any other site.
He's probably still using the RPI given how much he seemed to love it. He was virtually the only person I can recall who thought it was a good system.
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Old 01-18-2019, 07:02 AM   #7
Queens_NYC
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ESPN 1/18 Update

9 seed playing against TCU in Columbus.

Winner would likely play Michigan.
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Old 01-18-2019, 10:44 AM   #8
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Originally Posted by Queens_NYC View Post
ESPN 1/18 Update

9 seed playing against TCU in Columbus.

Winner would likely play Michigan.
That would be ideal, only 2 teams that scare me are Gonzaga and Tennessee and playing in Columbus Id take it in a heart beat
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Old 01-18-2019, 11:13 AM   #9
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Originally Posted by mdchick View Post
That would be ideal, only 2 teams that scare me are Gonzaga and Tennessee and playing in Columbus Id take it in a heart beat
I agree. That match-up would through the East region. Midwest region 7v10 and 2v15 1st and 2nd round match-ups also are in Columbus.

I'd take being a 10 seed in Columbus over being a higher seed nearly anywhere else if our regular season ceiling is really going to be a bit lower than last year.
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Old 01-20-2019, 10:45 AM   #10
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CBS and Palm have upgraded us to a 9 seed.
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