Go Back   BearcatTalk.com > Cincinnati Basketball > Bearcat Basketball
Home Register Community FAQ Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-28-2020, 12:46 PM   #81
justinhub2003
Epic Member
 
justinhub2003's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 5,583
justinhub2003 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by sedziobs View Post
I was very wary of those "good" buy games even before we lost to Colgate:

"I don't understand the point of playing good but not great teams at home. Teams in the 75-160 range are Q3 at home, which means they aren't a quality win and would be a bad loss. Drake, UNLV, Vermont, and Colgate are all in that category. I can see why Cronin didn't schedule good mid majors."

"I'm not convinced any of the teams we've beaten are going to end up Q2 (maybe Vermont). And I'm also not convinced that a bunch of Q3 wins is any better than a bunch of Q4 wins. I seriously doubt the committee ever gets that deep into a resume."

"...a team's NET is obviously affected by their strength of schedule. But our own NET isn't important - our opponents' NET is what determines our quadrant records. We can have a really good SOS by playing all Q3 games and no Q4 games, but that does nothing at all for what matters most - getting quality wins and avoiding bad losses.

If we end up beating Colgate it won't matter - we will have avoided the risk of getting a bad loss against a mid major at home. It's just not a strategy I would feel comfortable with going into each season. There's just not much to be gained and potentially a lot to lose."

https://www.bearcattalk.com/showthre...t=12407&page=2


And it sucks that it’s this way.

But it’s apparent that beating a team ranked 200 by 30 is better than either barely beating a team ranked 120 or worse losing.

It costs more money to schedule those games too and it’s not like fans come out in droves to watch UC play toothpaste
justinhub2003 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-28-2020, 12:48 PM   #82
Cataclysmo
Senior Member
 
Cataclysmo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 270
Cataclysmo is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by justinhub2003 View Post
It also shows how you can game the system.

Colgate and drake are great buy games that lift your SOS . And yet they provide zero real value:
Yeah, we totally gamed the system by losing to Colgate in the non-conf.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bulldog01 View Post
Your wife love clowns clown
Cataclysmo is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-28-2020, 12:56 PM   #83
Cataclysmo
Senior Member
 
Cataclysmo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 270
Cataclysmo is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by justinhub2003 View Post
It also shows how you can game the system.

Colgate and drake are great buy games that lift your SOS . And yet they provide zero real value:

It’s gaming the system.

I just I remember when I watched last year; the committee chair specifically mentioned how many Games you’ve played against tier 3 & 4 teams as being something they look at on the bubble
Last time I'll mention UCLA; we played 4 more Q3/Q4 games than them. True. But they played 2 more Q4 games than us AND a D2 game. Also, two of our Q4 games are a combined 9 spots away from being Q3 games. Keep cherry picking stats to crap on UC. Our tournament resume is far better than the Bruins
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bulldog01 View Post
Your wife love clowns clown
Cataclysmo is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-28-2020, 02:51 PM   #84
cincyguy13
Epic Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2017
Posts: 4,633
cincyguy13 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cataclysmo View Post
Yeah, we totally gamed the system by losing to Colgate in the non-conf.
Kinda of a special case this year. New coach, half the team is new players. Players just recently started finding their roles. Still should have won but in the future I think these games are fairly safe plays. Might lose one every 4-5 years.
cincyguy13 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-28-2020, 04:31 PM   #85
cincrulz11
Epic Member
 
cincrulz11's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 4,329
cincrulz11 is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by cincyguy13 View Post
Kinda of a special case this year. New coach, half the team is new players. Players just recently started finding their roles. Still should have won but in the future I think these games are fairly safe plays. Might lose one every 4-5 years.
I feel the same way. I'm not sure I would base anything for the future off how our early season went this year.



However I see what sedziobs is saying and I remember when he made the post. I argued you just gotta win the games.


I guess it comes down to is the goal to squeak into the tournament, or is the goal to get the best seed possible and advance. Maybe this year, and next year, the goal should have been just get in.
cincrulz11 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-02-2020, 08:45 AM   #86
sedziobs
Senior Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
sedziobs is on a distinguished road
Q1
16 @Ohio St
19 @Houston
19 Houston
29 Iowa
43 @Xavier
45 @Wichita St
61 @ UConn
62 @Memphis

Q2
45 Wichita St
61 UConn
62 Memphis
69 Tennessee
112 @Temple
124 @USF
130 @UCF

Q3
79 Vermont
82 Tulsa
89 SMU
104 UNLV
112 Temple
115 Colgate
130 UCF
135 Valpo
150 Bowling Green
171 @Tulane
200 Illinois St
205 @ECU

Q4
174 Drake
205 ECU
340 Alabama A&M
sedziobs is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-02-2020, 11:33 AM   #87
Queens_NYC
Epic Member
 
Queens_NYC's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 1,655
Queens_NYC is on a distinguished road
AAC Teams we need to win out to boost our NET profile:

UCF - in danger of losing their Q2 win

USF (aside from our game) - in danger of losing their Q2 status

UConn - could lose Q1/Q2 status with a loss @Tulane

Tulsa - could gain Q2 status

Remaining AAC teams

Houston - will likely stay Q1/Q1

Wichita - will likely stay Q1/Q2

Memphis - will likely stay Q1/Q2

SMU - will likely stay Q3

Temple - will likely stay Q2/Q3

Tulane - near guarantee to stay Q3

ECU - near guarantee to stay Q3/Q4
Queens_NYC is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-02-2020, 11:38 AM   #88
sedziobs
Senior Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
sedziobs is on a distinguished road
Vermont and Tennessee remain the teams to watch out of conference. I think Vermont could get back in the top 75 if they win the America East tourney.
sedziobs is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-04-2020, 08:57 AM   #89
sedziobs
Senior Moderator
 
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,395
sedziobs is on a distinguished road
Q1
15 @Ohio St
18 @Houston
18 Houston
35 Iowa
41 @Xavier
43 @Wichita St
63 @Memphis
64 @ UConn

Q2
43 Wichita St
57 Tennessee
63 Memphis
64 UConn
112 @Temple
128 @USF
131 @UCF

Q3
78 Vermont
82 Tulsa
88 SMU
106 UNLV
112 Temple
116 Colgate
131 UCF
134 Valpo
154 Bowling Green
172 @Tulane
199 Illinois St
206 @ECU

Q4
173 Drake
206 ECU
340 Alabama A&M
sedziobs is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 03-04-2020, 09:04 AM   #90
cincrulz11
Epic Member
 
cincrulz11's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 4,329
cincrulz11 is on a distinguished road
gogogogogo vermont


I'm not sure if Illinois St staying a tier 3 team matters, but I like seeing only 3 quad 4 games.
cincrulz11 is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump



Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd., - All material on this Cincinnati Bearcat discussion forum is strictly for entertainment purposes only. This site and any pages within are in no way affiliated with the University of Cincinnati. Any images, copyrights, or trademarks used on this site are used under the "Fair Use Provision" of the Copyright Act for purposes of comment, criticism, and news reporting.