12-16-2019, 03:18 PM | #1 |
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2019-2020 NET rankings & team sheets
This thread will be moderated to stay on topic. Keep discussions limited to rankings, team sheets, and resumes. Off topic posts will be moved to the open thread.
In the first release of the NET rankings this season, UC is 110. A good resource is Warren Nolan: warrennolan.com/basketball/2020/schedule/Cincinnati Quadrants: Q1: Home 1-30 / Neutral 1-50/ Away 1-75 Q2: Home 31-75 / Neutral 51-100 / Away 76-135 Q3: Home 76-160 / Neutral 101-200 / Away 136-240 Q4: Home 161+ / Neutral 201+ / Away 241+ Our current quadrant records: Q1 0-2 Q2 0-0 Q3 3-1 Q4 3-1 Colgate (177) is a Q4 loss, but can move to Q3 if they improve to 160. Bowling Green (113) is a Q3 loss, but can move to Q2 if they improve to 100. Our next four games are against Q1 or Q2 opponents. |
12-16-2019, 07:24 PM | #2 |
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I think our NET ranking gives a much more accurate depiction of where we currently stand amongst our peers than our KenPom ranking (62nd).
10 games in and we have 0 good wins, 2 bad losses, and need to improve our playing form considerably to re-enter the conversation of becoming a potential NCAA tournament team again. |
12-16-2019, 09:26 PM | #3 |
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We win the the next 3 games and I think you right the ship.
2 out of 3 are at home. It’s not impossible. But it will take 2nd half defense |
01-02-2020, 06:25 PM | #4 |
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We're currently 0-3 Q1, 1-0 Q2, 2 bad losses. Here's how the schedule looks right now:
Q1 3 @Ohio St 11 Wichita St 11 @Wichita St 12 Memphis 12 @Memphis 35 @Temple 43 @Houston 23 Iowa 48 @Xavier Q2 35 Temple 43 Houston 67 Tennessee 79 @UConn 93 @UCF 134 @Tulane Q3 77 SMU 79 UConn 89 Vermont 93 UCF 121 Tulsa 142 Colgate 156 Valpo 158 Drake 164 Bowling Green 165 @USF 176 Illinois St 230 @ECU Q4 166 UNLV 230 ECU 298 Alabama A&M We'll want ECU and Tulsa to lose every game, since neither of them are going to give us a Q1/2 opportunity. USF is probably in the same boat. |
01-02-2020, 07:22 PM | #5 | |
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Quote:
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01-09-2020, 08:02 AM | #6 |
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I'll try to make this a weekly update.
Q1 14 @Ohio St 10Wichita St 10 @Wichita St 24 Memphis 24 @Memphis 67 @Temple 38 @Houston 43 Iowa 54 @Xavier Q2 60 SMU 67 Temple 38 Houston 68 Tennessee 88 @UConn 105 @UCF 116 @Tulane Q3 88 UConn 103 Vermont 105 UCF 113 Tulsa 133 Colgate 169 Valpo 139 Drake 177 Bowling Green 137 @USF 236 @ECU Q4 163 UNLV 212 Illinois St 236 ECU 296 Alabama A&M |
01-09-2020, 08:24 AM | #7 |
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plenty of opportunities, we must make the most of them.
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01-09-2020, 08:43 AM | #8 |
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Yeah, we only have 4 games left that aren't Q1 or Q2, and one of those (@USF) is very close to being Q2.
I still think 12-6 is the absolute minimum for us to be in the bubble conversation if things fall our way (meaning UConn, Houston, USF, and Vermont move up a quadrant). 13-5 probably puts us on the wrong side of the bubble with current rankings, and 14-4 on the right side of the bubble. |
01-09-2020, 09:03 AM | #9 | |
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We have 5 games left where we are -5 or better. Let's say all of that goes according to probability. We have 7 games left where the spread is -2.2 to +2.2. We would need to take 5 of 7 of them to be at 12-6. Let's call those 50-50 games and we need to win 71% of them. Anything better than that may be on the right side of the bubble and anything worse would be on the wrong side. 12-6 would probably be a toss up. |
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01-09-2020, 09:10 AM | #10 |
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I can't remember the last time I heard about a "strong bubble". It almost always seems to be weak for some reason...lol!
And I don't remember....maybe someone can clue me in. Will the committee take into account recent form vs early form or is this just a straight up comparison of team sheets. When deciding on bubble teams will a late surge help or things like player injury hurt? I seem to remember that it doesn't affect the decisions...but it has to be in the back of committee member minds when deciding. |
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